Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5601eb946a344827dbb2e7daf8c7f99c2dab3f744f6a1fb14ffd861f75df8c7

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,653,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,498,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,653,454 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes	17c	91,758$15,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,564.83	124	31.5%39 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes	12c	90,135$11,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,203.65	222	16.2%36 W · 186 L	-14.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	14c	77,694$11,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,033.07	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd2…d91ebacked No	78c	73,210$57,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,944.79	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	73cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe8b…d14dbacked No	77c	70,900$54,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,306.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e04…c004backed Yes	6c	51,754$3,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.21	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	6cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes	0c	49,289$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.69	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes	8c	47,778$3,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,682.51	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes	16c	47,095$7,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,409.03	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes	15c	40,209$5,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,853.75	258	24%62 W · 196 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes	16c	40,000$6,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,390	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	8c	30,000$2,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,480	120	25%30 W · 90 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee0…ae41backed Yes	21c	23,964$4,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,974.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes	13c	20,971$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,642.38	184	25%46 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc149…2c8cbacked Yes	1c	18,144$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.38	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes	11c	17,674$2,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.7	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…df5fbacked Yes	8c	16,419$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	16c	15,902$2,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,474.45	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes	0c	12,911$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	136	0%0 W · 136 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes	20c	11,170$2,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,221.15	128	24.2%31 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0408…3166backed Yes	35c	10,971$3,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,855.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712f…38a1backed No	68c	10,365$7,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,274.17	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	17c	10,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes	11c	9,590$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.48	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Yes	12c	9,424$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.99	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c98…33fbbacked Yes	1c	9,337$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.57	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…e220backed Yes	24c	9,297$2,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,221.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…2370backed Yes	29c	9,185$2,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,655.22	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…9165backed Yes	22c	9,019$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	8,843$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.13	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes	7c	7,986$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb401…df2abacked Yes	8c	7,577$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.23	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3da…3d6abacked Yes	4c	6,914$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.46	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes	7c	6,682$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.88	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5298…9e31backed Yes	15c	6,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a3…a3a6backed Yes	8c	6,516$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.58	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes	7c	6,398$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.14	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…7590backed Yes	5c	5,455$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes	10c	5,176$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.71	103	13.6%14 W · 89 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f51…531ebacked Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	0%0 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1dd…a272backed Yes	24c	4,975$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.51	117	26.5%31 W · 86 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde65…eea5backed No	71c	4,930$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430.06	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3271…befdbacked Yes	6c	4,896$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.99	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	10c	4,640$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.44	81	16%13 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c70…e76dbacked Yes	5c	4,444$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.87	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…d9e3backed Yes	18c	4,403$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.85	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	24cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes	19c	4,316$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No	76c	4,252$3,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.67	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+7.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes	21c	4,070$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.19	116	5.2%6 W · 110 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ba…c0eebacked No	71c	3,777$2,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.13	26	80.8%21 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked No	73c	3,747$2,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.24	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	20c	3,569$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.78	648	12%78 W · 570 L	-61.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x203b…6f16backed Yes	21c	3,367$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.03	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd321…a77fbacked No	80c	3,264$2,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.17	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked No	70c	2,373$1,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.57	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x832f…a0e1backed Yes	7c	2,300$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430a…ff11backed No	72c	2,279$1,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.25	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d8c…1eb7backed Yes	0c	2,259$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed No	77c	2,250$1,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.43	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes	16c	2,213$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.34	550	32.5%179 W · 371 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes	23c	2,100$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes	7c	2,051$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4e…1f10backed Yes	9c	1,971$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Yes	4c	1,805$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.02	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1916…b8edbacked Yes	11c	1,745$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…58c2backed Yes	14c	1,435$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65fe…e38fbacked Yes	9c	1,390$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…1a76backed No	67c	1,331$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.28	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes	28c	1,300$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x519a…2ec7backed No	79c	1,280$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.66	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed No	77c	1,249$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.12	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa02c…0331backed No	78c	1,193$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182a…b1febacked Yes	25c	1,184$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x837b…e8bebacked Yes	5c	1,158$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38b…8996backed No	72c	1,107$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.53	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…b9a2backed No	78c	1,097$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed No	79c	1,051$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.06	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked No	78c	1,050$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.15	80	10%8 W · 72 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61a…8e82backed Yes	5c	1,020$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	49	2%1 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Yes	3c	1,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No	75c	973.88$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.77	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x668f…0066backed Yes	17c	960$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.4	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c19…17febacked Yes	20c	950$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…0748backed Yes	22c	926.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc12c…fc6dbacked No	78c	903.95$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes	23c	841.36$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.99	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+15.1wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3ace…b8b8backed Yes	8c	831.39$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes	20c	746.27$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb17…5d7bbacked No	80c	744.27$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.01	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c88…d117backed Yes	23c	727$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.34	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5020…215fbacked No	69c	726.94$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.94	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…a63bbacked Yes	20c	715.37$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…da7ebacked Yes	2c	714.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-33%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe395…2a72backed Yes	11c	704.28$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes	23c	700$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	157	54.8%86 W · 71 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e6…bcc7backed Yes	13c	678.75$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.74	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f2…66fdbacked Yes	28c	678.57$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+85%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb117…8f3abacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed No	80c	650.27$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.11	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?this page
Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event