Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00238c225bad4150e274659158e5cb006c315a750a60ba3248110984e7200992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,523,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,437,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,523,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 13c | 119,837$15,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,464.51 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 7c | 111,655$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.11 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 99,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes | 3c | 69,895$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked Yes | 1c | 68,994$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.29 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 4c | 41,938$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.98 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…4eddbacked Yes | 3c | 37,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 8c | 35,235$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.19 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 13c | 29,159$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.67 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Yes | 63c | 20,780$12,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,991.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 12c | 20,712$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 22c | 18,542$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.56 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 17,315$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 14,959$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463b…7a7fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,827$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…1d68backed No | 36c | 13,930$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,929.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 8c | 13,609$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.77 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,591$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…cbd6backed No | 62c | 11,056$6,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…9f87backed Yes | 2c | 9,926$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed No | 80c | 8,682$6,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed No | 71c | 7,318$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 7,190$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked No | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 14c | 6,484$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.61 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 8c | 6,259$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…c336backed Yes | 2c | 6,122$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…f495backed Yes | 3c | 6,030$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 22c | 5,824$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,563$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…6b94backed Yes | 5c | 5,348$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…18aabacked Yes | 1c | 5,250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 14c | 5,219$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.81 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…e24fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 1c | 3,453$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…f904backed Yes | 2c | 3,427$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +570.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 74c | 3,003$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.7 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,991$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.28 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…762ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,987$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 7c | 2,461$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 59c | 2,334$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.72 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 76c | 2,287$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.88 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked No | 23c | 2,095$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.71 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 31c | 2,067$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.41 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,949$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.45 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 50c | 1,890$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…9b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,870$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Yes | 4c | 1,770$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…22f0backed Yes | 72c | 1,745$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,740$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,713$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.05 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 76c | 1,700$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 56c | 1,614$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.29 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.8 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 79c | 1,496$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.24 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 1,482$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 2c | 1,327$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…f916backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…c093backed Yes | 3c | 1,258$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…a2fabacked Yes | 3c | 1,212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,126$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…6238backed Yes | 7c | 1,027$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 1,010$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,009$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…cb3cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 20c | 996.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 995.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…3395backed No | 25c | 990.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 48c | 931.32$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.51 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 74c | 927.87$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…359abacked Yes | 33c | 900$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed Yes | 5c | 870.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…6ca3backed Yes | 6c | 866.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…bce3backed Yes | 6c | 802.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 50c | 799.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 3c | 795$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 78c | 781.95$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed No | 74c | 771.62$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…3330backed No | 20c | 750.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 3c | 750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 70c | 746$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…45bcbacked Yes | 5c | 729.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…7547backed Yes | 5c | 725.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…37edbacked Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5131…2541backed Yes | 25c | 590$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…957fbacked Yes | 5c | 546.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…13ecbacked Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 76c | 495.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4275…f5febacked Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 7c | 434.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 42c | 422$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.76 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 62c | 403.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.