TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62f7…129a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.52
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$195
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$329.98
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.2%+$80.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+29.3%+$573.25
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+36.9%+$781
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$166.67
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$70.51
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.54
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$655
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$566.98
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$50
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$69
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+67.2%+$104.31
LoL: Barça eSports vs Los Ratonesbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+77.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+809.1%+$622.98
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$95
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+65%+$186.27
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$163.17
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+455.6%+$246
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$131
Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+614.3%+$102.5
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$95.04
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$285
Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.16
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$352.5
Avail airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$9.25
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.2
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$480.74
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$282
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.7%+$188
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46%+$127.7
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk tweet more August 19 than day before?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.24
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+124.1%+$23.57
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump resign today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$328
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+157.1%+$31.41
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.8
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+347.3%+$218.82
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked KT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.4
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$65
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked BFX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: HLE vs T1backed HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$156.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.