Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5ea53e9be5337fc80c804af2fb51523504bf53e4fc328c09ee35ff934cdc55

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 7, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $194,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	6c	14,864$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.44	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	24c	11,283$2,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,719.31	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	72c	9,045$6,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,528.07	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	27c	6,502$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.92	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes	17c	5,054$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.23	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	4,932$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	4c	3,917$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.86	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ce…b5d6backed Yes	22c	3,361$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.77	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	13c	3,000$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	2,557$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.04	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	13c	2,555$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.9	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes	27c	2,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	94	7.4%7 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	13c	2,479$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.45	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6de2…c71fbacked Yes	26c	2,452$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.75	94	11.7%11 W · 83 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	24c	2,216$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.22	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a54…7663backed Yes	25c	2,054$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.8	109	23.9%26 W · 83 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	63c	1,997$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.28	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	21c	1,982$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.45	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	15c	1,978$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.61	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b9…db98backed Yes	15c	1,956$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.51	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+127.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	16c	1,874$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.33	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Yes	30c	1,784$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.57	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	28c	1,777$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…13cdbacked Yes	25c	1,522$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.87	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	16c	1,430$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.65	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes	14c	1,408$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b6…3263backed Yes	20c	1,324$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.37	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	77c	1,320$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.46	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	27c	1,300$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.15	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d16…9686backed Yes	18c	1,281$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.94	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	25c	1,263$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.58	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	13c	1,241$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	15c	1,199$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.33	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Yes	18c	1,134$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…56c1backed Yes	11c	1,120$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f7…6a03backed Yes	23c	1,101$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f19…af6bbacked Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…0e21backed Yes	4c	983.44$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dd…c5b7backed Yes	29c	862.41$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0223…34d1backed Yes	10c	836.35$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.64	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed No	79c	810.72$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.27	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes	29c	800$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed No	78c	800$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e30…0444backed Yes	21c	700.61$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…929fbacked Yes	15c	678.67$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.56	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d17…c822backed Yes	39c	637.27$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes	32c	620.83$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.75	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	20c	620$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048b…a02bbacked Yes	15c	570.67$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.6	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	17c	541.02$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.71	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62f7…129abacked Yes	14c	538.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b55…32c2backed Yes	14c	534.56$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.3	61	23%14 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65f6…5e4dbacked Yes	26c	507.32$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.16	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75c0…1484backed Yes	16c	498.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaba5…b775backed Yes	30c	468$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a8…d796backed Yes	17c	443.11$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.42	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes	18c	435$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.05	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…9f06backed Yes	10c	403.33$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a1…d54abacked Yes	26c	390$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes	19c	360.19$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.84	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc437…9fb0backed Yes	13c	310$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	22c	307.4$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.45	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	14c	300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x243f…5a02backed No	70c	299.99$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.5	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	35c	286.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	16c	280$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fc…3f73backed No	80c	250.73$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.73	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	14c	249.3$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.83	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes	25c	240$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.1	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes	16c	231.19$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	172	16.9%29 W · 143 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea28…40d0backed Yes	33c	201.3$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	14c	200$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes	21c	192.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes	37c	189.19$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1536…0562backed Yes	16c	180$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd5…0381backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+142.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	29c	163.45$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes	24c	158.17$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.05	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes	29c	157.29$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	17c	150.87$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	18c	150.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.18	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	23c	149.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.14	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc389…ec7dbacked Yes	17c	145.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882d…82bfbacked No	69c	139.32$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4c…3d9fbacked Yes	27c	137.04$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	14c	133.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa5…3c24backed Yes	17c	132.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.24	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f1…18e6backed Yes	30c	123.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Yes	16c	122.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099e…18debacked Yes	33c	120$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	19c	115.26$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	16c	111.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No	80c	110.96$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.39	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc3…414cbacked Yes	12c	109.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?this page
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 450–464 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 465–479 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 480–494 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 495–509 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 510 or more times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 255 times August 1–August 8?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event