Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x558bbb9554b28c3145d57abfd78840ef4dd534af1221caa59b7cd0a97bb639f1

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 7, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $221,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $106,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,843 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	3c	19,193$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.42	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	15c	13,288$2,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,044.66	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	11,013$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	2c	5,212$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	8c	4,906$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.27	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ce…b5d6backed Yes	10c	4,769$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.05	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	6c	4,744$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.6	150	7.3%11 W · 139 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	6c	4,386$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.69	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	27c	4,000$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.86	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	15c	3,639$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.18	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	5c	3,561$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.18	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	3,131$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.32	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	94	7.4%7 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	7c	3,000$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.54	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	9c	2,500$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	5c	2,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.43	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	5c	1,947$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990b…c30ebacked Yes	3c	1,786$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	11c	1,775$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.5	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	6c	1,760$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b9…db98backed Yes	9c	1,654$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.25	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+127.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	7c	1,638$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.02	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d16…9686backed Yes	4c	1,617$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.98	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed Yes	18c	1,590$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.16	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	1,327$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de2…c71fbacked Yes	12c	1,277$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.98	94	11.7%11 W · 83 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…929fbacked Yes	9c	1,062$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.95	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	4c	994.85$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	13c	990.43$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.05	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6e…6254backed Yes	6c	970.2$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	8c	943$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.75	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1b…49b5backed Yes	10c	929.73$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.77	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b6…3263backed Yes	19c	922.62$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.89	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Yes	20c	916.01$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	865.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.13	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	850.87$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.76	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes	8c	850.07$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	84	13.1%11 W · 73 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	824.44$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.19	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f7…6a03backed Yes	14c	736.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	9c	724.54$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.63	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes	23c	669.43$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Yes	5c	636.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-43%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	13c	589.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e30…0444backed Yes	14c	551.79$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	8c	544.13$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.94	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75c0…1484backed Yes	20c	504$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	10c	500$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes	31c	476.29$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.65	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e22…3061backed Yes	5c	458.71$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	10c	429.5$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.02	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe79…9d68backed Yes	4c	424.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d9…4738backed Yes	3c	419.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	7c	418.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	12c	400$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	20c	393.22$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.94	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes	24c	375$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a8…6b32backed Yes	7c	366.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd5…0381backed Yes	7c	364$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	6c	345$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc437…9fb0backed Yes	7c	339.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Yes	7c	338.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	12c	328.35$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.11	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	5c	322.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes	7c	320$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea0…a84bbacked Yes	6c	306.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	11c	301.46$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.16	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	5c	290$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa5…3c24backed Yes	6c	274.78$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes	8c	256.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes	29c	256.31$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fc…3f73backed No	79c	252.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.16	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	9c	217.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055e…de32backed Yes	5c	215.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked No	74c	200$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc389…ec7dbacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1536…0562backed Yes	9c	180$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a54…7663backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	23.9%26 W · 83 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa862…46e2backed Yes	7c	160.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	12c	157.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099e…18debacked Yes	27c	151.66$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.23	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed No	78c	150$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.3	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65f6…5e4dbacked Yes	25c	149.03$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.93	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	8c	140$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+142.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d46…93acbacked Yes	8c	128.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Yes	14c	125.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	113	19.5%22 W · 91 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	9c	118.89$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d0…a1a0backed Yes	27c	109$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6c…01e0backed Yes	15c	104.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	13c	103.15$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd7…96d3backed Yes	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243f…5a02backed No	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?this page
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 450–464 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 465–479 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 480–494 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 495–509 times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet 510 or more times August 1–August 8?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 255 times August 1–August 8?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event