TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69fc…3f73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tweets, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+94.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.91
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$43.68
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$62.59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$35.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+429.1%+$76.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+41.4%+$37.47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$46.6
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$22.38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$29.77
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+94.5%+$32.14
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.73
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$42.11
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+950.8%+$435.83
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,012.7
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.8
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,390.69
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.14
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$359.44
Will Elon tweet 395–409 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$70.11
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.2
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.25
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.4
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.7
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.56
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$40.8
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.02
Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$30.24
Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$32.4
Will Celtics vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Over 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.9
Over 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+96.7%+$14.51
Over 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.06
Over 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$24.65
Over 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.78
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Padres vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.7
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+83%+$42.64
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.67
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Rays vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
White Sox vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Mets vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.98
White Sox vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$22.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+59.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.21
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$461.07
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.56
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+191.8%+$278.08
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+1,233.3%+$2,017.52
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.65
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$180.1
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Mallorca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Will Mallorca beat Real Valladolid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.1
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.56
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$15.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$38.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. CB Murciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.