NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff14880b11816cf5f9c0506e4c127cf8d6d42ffca3488a457123d1834f30a859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Over | 49c | 11,662$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.91 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.99 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Under | 52c | 8,404$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.41 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Under | 51c | 7,885$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.69 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Under | 53c | 5,921$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Under | 51c | 2,759$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.27 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,690$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 49c | 1,414$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.11 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Over | 49c | 897$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.47 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Under | 52c | 665.99$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Over | 53c | 542.45$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Over | 52c | 541.11$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.11 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Over | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Over | 52c | 475.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Under | 48c | 279$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Under | 53c | 189.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…15b9backed Over | 49c | 164$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…b6dfbacked Over | 53c | 66.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1b2bbacked Over | 52c | 60.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Under | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 220.5this page
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Knicks vs. PacersPacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.