NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3b15fbfe59faad30e30550ae98630490b4a6161550b9c18dbf281c8715c1948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa015…c0fdbacked Under | 62c | 60,037$37,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,222.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…5381backed Over | 38c | 49,198$18,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,502.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…555fbacked Over | 38c | 10,839$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 4c | 602$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Under | 64c | 540$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 36c | 404.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 80c | 252$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Over | 43c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Over | 39c | 48.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Over | 39c | 25.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 225.5this page
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Knicks vs. PacersPacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.