MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5fbf1864f67d9d15716309f32606e6ca35478d6d3edffafbd129f4242a771f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 16c | 11,741$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…341dbacked Phillies | 71c | 9,999$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…c541backed Phillies | 73c | 9,996$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…3718backed Rockies | 29c | 9,996$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…5c79backed Rockies | 27c | 9,996$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 27c | 9,557$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.19 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 12c | 5,346$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.34 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Phillies | 72c | 5,000$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.55 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Phillies | 74c | 3,497$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rockies | 28c | 3,282$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.88 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Phillies | 72c | 2,785$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.76 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Phillies | 73c | 2,718$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.98 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…a60bbacked Rockies | 27c | 2,100$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 74c | 2,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.08 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…d35bbacked Rockies | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 74c | 1,786$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies | 14c | 1,545$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Rockies | 27c | 1,506$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Phillies | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Phillies | 64c | 1,350$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.64 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rockies | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 28c | 1,235$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…70fbbacked Phillies | 73c | 1,082$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Phillies | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…9528backed Phillies | 73c | 1,018$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 28c | 990.19$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…bc5dbacked Phillies | 73c | 959$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies | 29c | 923$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 21c | 921.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 10c | 911.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…d88bbacked Phillies | 73c | 893$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 73c | 808.29$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…174abacked Phillies | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 71c | 785.56$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Phillies | 72c | 748.81$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Phillies | 72c | 721.06$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.65 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 15c | 701.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Phillies | 74c | 694.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…e090backed Rockies | 27c | 670$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 26c | 620.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Rockies | 29c | 543.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies | 11c | 509.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Rockies | 23c | 469.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Rockies | 32c | 464.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies | 31c | 354.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Phillies | 73c | 312.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 68c | 281.25$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed Phillies | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Phillies | 73c | 270$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 72c | 266$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Rockies | 18c | 264.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…9ca0backed Rockies | 29c | 262.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…8c03backed Phillies | 68c | 257.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 25c | 245$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 75c | 227$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a7…e1f9backed Rockies | 16c | 212.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 72c | 209$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Rockies | 27c | 206.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies | 8c | 146.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Phillies | 73c | 136.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…142bbacked Phillies | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Phillies | 74c | 131.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…a53dbacked Rockies | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 28c | 124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…a7b0backed Phillies | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…fba5backed Rockies | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed Rockies | 29c | 100.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Phillies | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Phillies | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rockies | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rockies | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…71cdbacked Phillies | 72c | 97.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…80a0backed Rockies | 29c | 86.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…f7b5backed Rockies | 30c | 84.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Phillies | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Phillies | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Phillies | 68c | 73.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Rockies | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…fddebacked Phillies | 72c | 72.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…8165backed Phillies | 74c | 72.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rockies | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Rockies | 32c | 63.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Phillies | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…b8f5backed Rockies | 27c | 62.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Phillies | 74c | 62.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.