TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No64c70,619$45,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,309.466953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ae4…9188backed Yes36c70,009$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,200520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d7…a31dbacked No65c56,632$36,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,821.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…e469backed Yes35c55,511$19,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,428.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No63c28,774$18,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,739.2713857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes34c21,235$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,200.414544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes52c13,776$7,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,155.0467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No46c13,604$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,311.4920744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No59c12,424$7,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,112.7417958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No67c11,205$7,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.625349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes37c8,653$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57be…2bcbbacked Yes36c7,567$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c7,063$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Yes62c6,290$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes34c6,068$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes34c5,941$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No38c5,533$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,423.8734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No14c5,448$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,710.4319743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes40c4,567$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.8511548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Yes77c4,437$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c4,074$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.3256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c3,874$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.241,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No67c3,860$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes33c3,800$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2541163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f5…b3fdbacked Yes35c3,700$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No65c3,678$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.214252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No10c3,611$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,238.797839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No71c3,521$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.985257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3041…52b5backed Yes34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No43c3,189$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.1979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes37c2,971$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.158045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No63c2,842$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.7521445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No43c2,688$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.876334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes35c2,500$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8654843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3d…f7afbacked No65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c2,243$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.3883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No62c2,208$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.2132158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No67c2,117$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.5215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1004…e818backed No65c2,100$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No63c1,977$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.8424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes38c1,970$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.64124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed Yes33c1,882$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes63c1,869$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-72.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes40c1,835$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73427024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes37c1,742$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes77c1,685$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.132920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No29c1,677$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.9113837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes40c1,605$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes69c1,579$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.122138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Yes58c1,539$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97d…5e65backed Yes35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes39c1,450$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.518929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes40c1,441$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.611323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes34c1,279$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked Yes35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes12c1,200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-70.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8463…a509backed No65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes35c1,128$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No42c1,125$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…42f2backed Yes35c1,121$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes34c1,076$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36618433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes66c1,062$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f5…95a3backed Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3600backed Yes39c1,018$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1e…6623backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes36c989.35$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yes38c927.15$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.042850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No66c909$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.067963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes35c853.2$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.883351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Yes37c837.35$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.821435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes35c814.02$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed No63c799.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6457…834fbacked Yes39c795$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f3…1712backed Yes65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0212…dc7fbacked No65c750$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.273360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes2c723.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.248646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd687…4faabacked Yes31c713$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+196.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes29c690.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes37c683.18$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1714953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes33c636.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x430c…0c89backed Yes35c631.43$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes26c615.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3270…fccfbacked No61c605$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No61c604.27$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8118752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe460…c508backed Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa201…ab01backed No65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e84…7040backed Yes45c582.4$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+77.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c92…b7eebacked Yes35c575$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Yes32c531.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.22922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes40c520$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.783450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Yes41c516.29$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.