TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No74c120,329$89,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,285.636953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes26c95,984$24,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,955.941315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes26c18,588$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.925641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes25c10,324$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.931758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca52…3f41backed Yes25c9,999$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6342…7bd4backed No75c9,998$7,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x618c…9ba7backed Yes25c9,998$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44f…b4d2backed No75c9,998$7,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed No76c6,388$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.62366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes25c4,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Yes29c4,301$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No36c4,191$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.5428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No75c3,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87518362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes19c3,273$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No75c3,244$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.914124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No78c2,456$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.9614544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ef8…dce7backed No75c2,400$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes23c2,212$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes25c2,109$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…59d0backed Yes25c1,962$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes19c1,961$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.093537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes24c1,800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4323129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c93…8f21backed Yes25c1,799$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes25c1,519$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.758943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No75c1,410$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.4113857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes24c1,343$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3221353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes25c1,192$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes16c1,148$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes27c964.32$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes26c941.81$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.751921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes24c926.94$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.471,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes24c907$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.579917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeda…053abacked Yes26c845.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes14c719.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…1712backed Yes28c717.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7a…eab1backed Yes65c616.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes25c613.42$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3611252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes26c578.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No77c545.62$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x41ef…05bebacked No74c533$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c474.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No74c473$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9821445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes13c411.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1726…3986backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes25c396.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07f…06b8backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006425%16 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes3c340$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6f…ac2dbacked Yes29c312.66$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…f088backed Yes26c311.54$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No65c305.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1882…ba8bbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed No76c286$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.643669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked No75c238$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes6c231.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No46c227.64$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No71c205.62$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.762437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1680…3ac0backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed No75c178$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1f…ccbdbacked Yes25c174.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes54c171.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.683228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91d7…0c32backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4197…019dbacked Yes27c146.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588c…6929backed Yes25c145$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed No76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes27c137.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed No75c133.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.871353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed No76c131$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked No75c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.954165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc674…5e6bbacked No46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes24c105.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…9236backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No76c88.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1216955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed No76c86.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.721060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27d…682ebacked Yes63c84.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes25c77.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4411527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Yes25c73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No75c73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes25c62.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.526851.5%35 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x040c…ba81backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbf…1eb6backed Yes25c53.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3315461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7e…474ebacked No76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c8…f919backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+123.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.