Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266d44ee0b7047da7ee0f141fc610768bebed35ce8d7d66c1275761db5146cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 49c | 160,191$78,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,928.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 50c | 65,941$32,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,998.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…3ed6backed No | 51c | 33,200$16,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,932 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…7388backed Yes | 49c | 33,200$16,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,932 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…ebf7backed Yes | 49c | 33,106$16,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,884.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…3830backed No | 51c | 33,100$16,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,881 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 51c | 26,375$13,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,929.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 47c | 20,972$9,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 51c | 14,957$7,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,341.12 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 49c | 10,577$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.34 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 51c | 8,663$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.63 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 55c | 7,534$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.96 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 51c | 6,699$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes | 52c | 5,760$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Yes | 49c | 4,997$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 49c | 3,800$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 20c | 3,299$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.24 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,944$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 22c | 2,897$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5109backed Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 54c | 2,449$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.43 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 50c | 2,415$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 15c | 2,413$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 49c | 2,203$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.27 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.95 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4d30backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f5…4d6dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,996$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…4fabbacked Yes | 54c | 1,871$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 50c | 1,744$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.85 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.95 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 1,531$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 48c | 1,360$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 49c | 1,300$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Yes | 50c | 1,299$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…e5f2backed Yes | 49c | 1,284$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…f34fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…2660backed Yes | 52c | 1,172$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,164$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…9474backed No | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…ba7dbacked No | 53c | 1,090$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed No | 47c | 1,044$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…4f9fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,038$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.54 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 54c | 1,013$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.05 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,012$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed No | 54c | 960$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed No | 51c | 950$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…89babacked Yes | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked No | 51c | 899.82$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 27c | 876.61$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…0cefbacked Yes | 50c | 825.41$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…4ba7backed Yes | 47c | 805$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…9154backed Yes | 47c | 795$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed No | 59c | 786.68$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 51c | 784.12$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 48c | 778.48$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 775.04$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.57 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…a520backed Yes | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…f2aebacked Yes | 49c | 670$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79e…1adcbacked No | 53c | 660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 50c | 643.83$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.06 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 74c | 622.18$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 49c | 622.06$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…544fbacked No | 51c | 613.33$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…b8cbbacked Yes | 49c | 612.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 21c | 606.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 49c | 571.35$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 52c | 569.88$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…93fcbacked No | 51c | 560$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…ea91backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 51c | 499$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 50c | 489.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 49c | 485.71$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…6485backed Yes | 22c | 459.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +359.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 48c | 442.87$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed No | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 12c | 433.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes | 49c | 410.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…f2e7backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…4615backed Yes | 49c | 404.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.