TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6777…a516backed No75c148,000$111,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778b…9a24backed Yes25c148,000$37,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes23c42,998$9,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,889.432458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No77c39,333$30,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,062.6712269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes21c23,546$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No77c16,881$12,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.452272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No79c14,131$11,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.555156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No79c11,119$8,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.527566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes78c10,663$8,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,305.62812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-83.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c10,132$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.0626022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked No76c7,125$5,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab46…eb4ebacked No76c6,566$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes24c6,119$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.052425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No76c5,517$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.088545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No46c5,483$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.3720132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes47c5,411$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.633055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes24c5,213$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.21922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes25c4,400$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002718.5%5 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No72c4,141$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.4427939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes54c3,110$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.22737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Yes22c2,884$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.25425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes55c2,838$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.5312243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes24c1,992$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.24341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c1,542$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3624655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes25c1,446$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed No75c1,442$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes26c1,420$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37515376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes65c1,075$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes21c1,001$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.151816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6508749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes24c900.03$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0114042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes28c739.37$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.144235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6926…bfa8backed Yes25c716$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes24c678.37$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes55c657.3$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.083770.3%26 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes55c645.45$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcadd…200bbacked Yes25c630$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes53c622.88$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes23c600$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13690%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes67c579.4$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No66c552.55$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No75c500$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.794257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes47c466.44$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.82875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c91…0cefbacked Yes30c438.63$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes15c424.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes25c419.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…2bd2backed No76c417.76$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba5…040bbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes23c399.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.812958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes30c373$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.632360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No75c361.51$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3813554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes30c333.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes28c316.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1836647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fc…6ecbbacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes16c262.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9317835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…d8cebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c227$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.488240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes32c221.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.741060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec3…f088backed Yes23c217.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…e9b1backed No75c217$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7340…7388backed Yes25c217$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…a9a4backed Yes26c215.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes26c208.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7b…9cd5backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No72c205.36$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d07…35e6backed No75c205.34$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No63c200.24$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.733265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes25c186$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes24c170$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.12528%7 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd78…0d95backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes25c151.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec28…5413backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf088…4942backed Yes23c147.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes26c146.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.551225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-80.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7ef…485ebacked Yes28c117.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No77c116$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes51c102.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.211637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87de…42bfbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ec…1859backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662d…5b15backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bea…acd4backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.251788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+31%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10a3…c35bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd69…1945backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc748…aaa4backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb566…96d0backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e6b…4ca1backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.