La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid beat Mallorca?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8c8fb54845302dd5ba8a6723788e17bdc34b56a80da384e826cc3487105452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 7,092$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 30c | 4,391$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,174$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 72c | 1,396$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.26 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 1,222$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.3 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a0…7694backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed No | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…41b9backed No | 31c | 783.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 719.28$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 30c | 705$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 70c | 486.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 33c | 419.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 44c | 310.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 287.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…784fbacked Yes | 72c | 285$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…cbacbacked Yes | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 70c | 278.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…488abacked Yes | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 52c | 234$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 36c | 208.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 28c | 196$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…05cebacked Yes | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048d…a493backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…f0cebacked Yes | 70c | 109.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 45c | 107.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 39c | 93.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 27c | 87.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…8f91backed Yes | 46c | 75.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 62c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…4527backed Yes | 72c | 69.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e83…634bbacked Yes | 69c | 69.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a71dbacked Yes | 49c | 63.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c864backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 72c | 54.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…569fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…9351backed Yes | 42c | 46.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f9…8942backed Yes | 72c | 41.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes | 60c | 40.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…0d5bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…2253backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…c697backed Yes | 54c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…2720backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 71c | 25.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…a2a3backed Yes | 72c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…ab15backed Yes | 71c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…2751backed Yes | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid beat Mallorca?this page
- Will Mallorca beat Real Madrid?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Mallorca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.