AI · resolved market
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a455ee5e830de14216efc6686d4ca9bd8af153f3985f0ef1cbba22923117cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $661,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09c1…6d08backed Yes | 26c | 36,173$9,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,463.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…feb5backed Yes | 27c | 31,116$8,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,554.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 18,017$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 13,840$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked No | 79c | 12,987$10,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 75c | 11,000$8,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 51c | 10,138$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 28c | 9,761$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.76 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Yes | 1c | 9,545$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,403$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 55c | 7,458$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,874$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…8a4ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,575$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…93b8backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 39c | 5,740$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.76 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed No | 68c | 5,490$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 4,820$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.39 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 54c | 4,471$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.78 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 70c | 4,393$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.85 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…1baebacked Yes | 1c | 4,059$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +140%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 58c | 3,869$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…29edbacked No | 57c | 3,663$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 59c | 3,568$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 71c | 3,448$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…4197backed Yes | 30c | 3,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,766$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.18 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 28c | 2,713$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…2182backed No | 75c | 2,700$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed No | 72c | 2,695$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 2,645$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed No | 63c | 2,453$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…cc5cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,442$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…dba1backed Yes | 59c | 2,279$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0d25backed Yes | 35c | 2,237$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 50c | 2,200$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 2,187$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 72c | 2,174$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.4 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…4516backed No | 50c | 2,154$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…b74abacked Yes | 32c | 1,991$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 50c | 1,966$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f2…d5d5backed Yes | 39c | 1,875$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…0838backed Yes | 1c | 1,865$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,846$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +8.3wins | +0.38per pick | 17cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Yes | 44c | 1,835$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…9dfbbacked No | 72c | 1,824$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 45c | 1,811$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.07 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f9…eb40backed Yes | 50c | 1,766$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed No | 54c | 1,676$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 50c | 1,644$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Yes | 1c | 1,613$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 38c | 1,585$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 60c | 1,583$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…97ccbacked Yes | 30c | 1,563$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 76c | 1,547$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.41 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 51c | 1,530$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.06 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,502$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.45 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x925c…fb35backed No | 76c | 1,481$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 38c | 1,475$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.49 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…59f1backed No | 70c | 1,427$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…2b85backed No | 58c | 1,407$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 57c | 1,396$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…f364backed Yes | 72c | 1,395$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 23c | 1,373$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.44 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…aa02backed Yes | 68c | 1,352$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 65c | 1,348$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked No | 72c | 1,337$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,335$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…f72fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,331$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdf…eda3backed No | 77c | 1,302$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 43c | 1,283$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.67 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…269bbacked No | 79c | 1,269$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 52c | 1,245$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed No | 66c | 1,229$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,225$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…8fc4backed No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…bb11backed Yes | 48c | 1,179$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed Yes | 33c | 1,177$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked No | 60c | 1,165$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…ac9cbacked No | 69c | 1,162$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 54c | 1,161$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,134$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.17 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…167ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,121$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 29c | 1,113$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 37c | 1,108$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.88 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…95e9backed No | 74c | 1,108$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 65c | 1,101$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 1,093$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed Yes | 32c | 1,069$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed No | 54c | 1,060$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 71c | 1,030$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…812fbacked No | 63c | 985.89$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 73c | 979.33$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 78c | 976.3$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…7a47backed Yes | 46c | 950.48$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…4cc0backed Yes | 32c | 947.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.