Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x944c7815453212389efdb9226a0ec5f1d91728ff4c9ea4debd2666e6aeeded01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,748,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,288,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,748,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 862 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 14c | 283,735$40,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,744.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 26c | 240,457$61,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,847.27 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Yes | 28c | 208,091$57,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,962.01 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 40c | 204,434$80,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,848.39 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 66c | 179,269$117,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,339.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 28c | 130,432$37,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,130.44 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 23c | 117,887$27,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,618.6 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…9f87backed Yes | 26c | 81,376$21,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,213.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 22c | 75,506$16,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,422.13 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 7c | 70,307$5,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 26c | 58,428$14,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,971.51 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 54,084$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…1e6cbacked No | 76c | 51,150$38,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,514.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 63c | 49,991$31,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,305.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 62c | 46,844$29,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,109.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…5189backed No | 60c | 40,814$24,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,464.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 17c | 40,324$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,847.57 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 17c | 39,396$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795.22 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 30c | 38,371$11,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,473.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 25c | 34,231$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked Yes | 39c | 32,829$12,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,685.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 76c | 32,345$24,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,667 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…5e45backed Yes | 6c | 29,161$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 12c | 27,491$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 70c | 27,066$18,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,173.13 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked No | 80c | 26,239$20,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 72c | 25,879$18,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,189.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 23c | 25,196$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.1 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 75c | 24,118$18,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,108.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed No | 39c | 23,715$9,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,448.84 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 29c | 23,244$6,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,810.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 14c | 22,052$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 21,989$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.63 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 11c | 21,537$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.4 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed No | 79c | 20,081$15,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…a7a1backed Yes | 6c | 19,890$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 69c | 18,166$12,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 12c | 15,949$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.31 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 16c | 15,003$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…91e9backed No | 77c | 15,000$11,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 61c | 14,890$9,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 37c | 14,529$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,085.48 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 62c | 14,508$9,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 28c | 14,293$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 23c | 14,221$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.24 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed No | 71c | 13,701$9,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 28c | 13,088$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed Yes | 11c | 12,505$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 59c | 12,361$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 61c | 12,226$7,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.72 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 57c | 12,010$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Yes | 26c | 12,000$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 13c | 11,846$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.37 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 47c | 11,227$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4908…fd6cbacked Yes | 27c | 10,834$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…1819backed Yes | 51c | 10,787$5,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 29c | 10,785$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.02 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…3e88backed Yes | 1c | 10,703$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed No | 72c | 10,331$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.57 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Yes | 16c | 10,172$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…9c04backed No | 47c | 9,666$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 20c | 9,076$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…8afebacked No | 71c | 8,970$6,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 14c | 8,365$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.98 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 73c | 8,131$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.37 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Yes | 33c | 8,000$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 29c | 7,837$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.42 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 26c | 7,651$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…60edbacked Yes | 23c | 7,476$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 55c | 7,381$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…d7c0backed No | 68c | 7,370$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…74ecbacked No | 73c | 7,270$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 67c | 7,100$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…ec70backed Yes | 29c | 6,978$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…b05abacked Yes | 23c | 6,874$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 14c | 6,862$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.23 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 69c | 6,759$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.21 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 56c | 6,724$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 52c | 6,619$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.69 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 30c | 6,483$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.87 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…6c30backed Yes | 17c | 6,467$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.2 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 28c | 6,460$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.18 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 29c | 6,117$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.71 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 29c | 6,075$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.01 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Yes | 48c | 5,880$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 9c | 5,862$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.31 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed No | 66c | 5,799$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 5,788$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.8 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 76c | 5,760$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.16 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 67c | 5,701$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes | 16c | 5,652$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.39 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…2224backed No | 73c | 5,480$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 59c | 5,310$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 9c | 5,260$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.06 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…b9a1backed Yes | 12c | 5,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked No | 38c | 5,069$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 24c | 5,020$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.