Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d50565eb42fc604e7b0d32ae523076f9ee6b0e293615f60a002ad6147da5bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,962,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,129,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,962,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 78c | 476,025$372,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,651.84 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Yes | 56c | 370,301$208,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,811.18 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 53c | 163,282$86,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,049.75 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 46c | 124,078$57,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,002.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 115,415$56,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,224.23 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 53c | 91,845$48,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,544.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked No | 8c | 79,799$6,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 43c | 71,458$30,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,868.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 67c | 62,538$41,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,796.82 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 25c | 52,642$12,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,661.87 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked No | 56c | 45,818$25,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,656.61 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 44c | 45,339$20,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,314.54 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 54c | 43,958$23,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,100.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 46c | 41,621$19,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,419.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Yes | 69c | 40,643$27,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,770.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 30c | 40,342$12,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,084.93 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…043ebacked No | 12c | 36,800$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 20c | 36,659$7,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,415.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 47c | 35,578$16,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,855.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…67c3backed No | 30c | 34,983$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed No | 30c | 33,825$10,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,167.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed No | 59c | 33,413$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,699.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…5561backed No | 8c | 33,329$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 52c | 32,989$17,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…5f1bbacked No | 34c | 32,446$10,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,955.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 54c | 27,866$15,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,762.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 60c | 27,089$16,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,134.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked No | 58c | 23,998$13,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,955.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed No | 50c | 23,704$11,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,851.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…2f74backed No | 34c | 23,083$7,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,933.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed No | 13c | 18,950$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 47c | 18,790$8,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,836.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 39c | 17,500$6,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,765.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 31c | 16,495$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked Yes | 74c | 16,057$11,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 51c | 15,091$7,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,707.57 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 36c | 14,722$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.56 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 58c | 13,646$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.62 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 53c | 13,493$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.68 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 33c | 13,283$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,893.98 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 13,215$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.41 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Yes | 58c | 11,970$6,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 7c | 11,665$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 51c | 11,593$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,667.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…6b92backed No | 19c | 11,320$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…5343backed Yes | 44c | 11,106$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…f730backed No | 56c | 10,814$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…1e6cbacked No | 15c | 10,802$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 49c | 10,780$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.83 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed No | 51c | 10,481$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 34c | 10,302$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…c8e1backed Yes | 47c | 10,138$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 61c | 10,108$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,191.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 44c | 10,087$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.53 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 12c | 9,741$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.74 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 62c | 9,660$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.58 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 54c | 8,755$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.75 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…a94dbacked No | 7c | 8,621$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 29c | 8,561$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.57 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Yes | 48c | 8,235$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…2144backed No | 53c | 8,155$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 53c | 8,057$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.78 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…ec70backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 49c | 7,733$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…6e5fbacked No | 12c | 7,204$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…ba05backed No | 30c | 6,918$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 45c | 6,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 29c | 6,407$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.56 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 28c | 6,208$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.24 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed Yes | 51c | 5,962$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked No | 13c | 5,929$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.52 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 57c | 5,899$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 57c | 5,868$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 17c | 5,492$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.94 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 62c | 5,102$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.76 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 7c | 5,035$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 23c | 4,990$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.95 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 51c | 4,536$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 50c | 4,496$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.86 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 26c | 4,335$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.05 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…7c06backed No | 70c | 4,290$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 48c | 4,277$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…84a5backed Yes | 54c | 4,253$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…bbc4backed No | 71c | 4,177$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 59c | 4,157$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.82 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 53c | 4,152$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 4,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked No | 44c | 3,983$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 72c | 3,982$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 59c | 3,852$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,678$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.38 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…7789backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…8781backed No | 15c | 3,550$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…d474backed No | 62c | 3,546$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.