Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c1f18c40292aa133172ca4ea6f193fa0bb448e356dd45d0cab787f9ffeba4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $659,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 78c | 43,794$34,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,524.59 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 6c | 35,430$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.02 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 63c | 25,184$15,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,253.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 15c | 25,000$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.64 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 11c | 24,411$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.71 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…2859backed No | 3c | 22,529$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 15c | 22,081$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.39 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 79c | 18,391$14,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 27c | 18,191$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked No | 4c | 16,032$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed No | 0c | 11,170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…3d75backed Yes | 80c | 10,012$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 27c | 9,773$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.93 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 79c | 9,175$7,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.13 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked No | 15c | 8,288$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.28 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa606…3da7backed Yes | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 35c | 7,981$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 36c | 7,225$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…9e1fbacked No | 7c | 6,859$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 71c | 6,578$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.93 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 62c | 6,486$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 5,498$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.81 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 19c | 5,399$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.11 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 73c | 5,374$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.73 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked No | 12c | 5,231$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.61 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…4ccfbacked Yes | 73c | 5,228$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 13c | 5,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 21c | 4,551$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.02 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 43c | 4,405$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 20c | 4,000$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.3 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 18c | 4,000$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.4 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 13c | 3,805$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…37f9backed No | 3c | 3,791$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed No | 25c | 3,709$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 38c | 3,525$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.75 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed Yes | 72c | 3,333$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 38c | 3,320$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 27c | 3,234$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.13 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed Yes | 79c | 3,199$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 15c | 3,179$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.28 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 70c | 3,055$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 74c | 3,028$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.87 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No | 33c | 3,005$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…af58backed No | 31c | 2,966$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…0138backed Yes | 69c | 2,705$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 77c | 2,693$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.95 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…6844backed No | 6c | 2,552$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a3d2backed No | 10c | 2,400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked No | 5c | 2,182$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,128$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 72c | 2,107$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.82 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 23c | 2,049$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…1e6cbacked No | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…2adcbacked No | 5c | 1,939$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…2a56backed Yes | 69c | 1,874$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 40c | 1,843$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.4 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed No | 16c | 1,687$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 27c | 1,667$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 68c | 1,634$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.76 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked No | 21c | 1,600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…9befbacked Yes | 65c | 1,533$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe68…ae42backed No | 33c | 1,519$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,447$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.98 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…4549backed Yes | 63c | 1,430$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 78c | 1,400$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 20c | 1,400$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…161fbacked No | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e44…a2afbacked No | 4c | 1,260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…eb78backed Yes | 74c | 1,243$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 16c | 1,200$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,138$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1500…d35abacked No | 25c | 1,132$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked No | 17c | 1,109$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 10c | 1,100$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…0fc7backed No | 28c | 1,017$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…bbc4backed No | 20c | 1,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 9c | 1,001$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…26d7backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 66c | 999.34$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.78 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 16c | 974.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 69c | 968.91$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.45 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed No | 7c | 955.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…4d56backed No | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 9c | 900$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…d46bbacked No | 5c | 893.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed No | 12c | 876.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked No | 18c | 836.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 817.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No | 26c | 803.48$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…0554backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5131…cd65backed Yes | 70c | 776.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Yes | 75c | 741.62$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.