Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bae820b8811a079698039321711b96999dede02ab30e3f59b388697c3f3571d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,189,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,648,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,189,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 1c | 540,040$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…cf17backed Yes | 1c | 109,998$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…9f87backed Yes | 2c | 100,444$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 1c | 99,999$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed Yes | 1c | 73,469$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.65 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 1c | 68,216$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.69 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 1c | 53,412$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 48,311$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…a7a1backed Yes | 1c | 46,478$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…3455backed Yes | 1c | 44,025$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.71 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 42,497$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.45 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 2c | 34,132$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…e0a7backed Yes | 1c | 29,773$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…b265backed Yes | 2c | 21,430$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…f16cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,386$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,410$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…83bfbacked Yes | 2c | 15,025$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 0c | 14,597$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…043ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,196$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…81debacked Yes | 1c | 13,965$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed Yes | 2c | 12,324$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,191$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,017$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 11,016$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,517$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,278$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1a…d34dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,455$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…5f0fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,267$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…9a6cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,219$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c7…a49ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,017$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c85…7a3ebacked Yes | 2c | 7,956$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3c…5151backed Yes | 1c | 7,770$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…f3f0backed Yes | 1c | 7,575$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…04a3backed Yes | 2c | 7,380$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 2c | 7,233$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 2c | 6,875$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…3075backed Yes | 1c | 6,405$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…6c30backed Yes | 1c | 5,668$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…bd54backed Yes | 1c | 5,309$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…4d56backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,998$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 1c | 4,617$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f24ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,221$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…d984backed Yes | 1c | 4,209$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…9be6backed Yes | 1c | 3,503$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…58ebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,561$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…81d1backed Yes | 1c | 2,556$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8d…b13fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…4955backed Yes | 1c | 2,412$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4693backed Yes | 1c | 2,227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 2,197$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc4…9074backed Yes | 2c | 2,186$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,997$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,877$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7f…76cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,818$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…aedbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,689$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…e9afbacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…63e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,573$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…4397backed Yes | 2c | 1,563$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…b9a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…56b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 3cpaid | +800.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…c9dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,452$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…1bedbacked Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,393$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…899abacked Yes | 1c | 1,316$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…bb40backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…576cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,294$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…260ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…b9d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,255$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…c7b5backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…6661backed Yes | 1c | 1,249$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…db76backed Yes | 1c | 1,225$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…5e13backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…d830backed Yes | 2c | 1,194$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…e735backed Yes | 1c | 1,154$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…2130backed Yes | 2c | 1,153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 1c | 1,135$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…4bc2backed Yes | 1c | 1,131$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…4df2backed Yes | 1c | 1,120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…457ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,117$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…f17ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…6e90backed Yes | 1c | 1,094$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…7e52backed Yes | 1c | 1,088$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd117…2c70backed Yes | 1c | 1,075$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…6484backed Yes | 1c | 1,065$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…c9f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,062$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…7a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,056$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8619…d569backed Yes | 1c | 1,032$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…32dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,031$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…49b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,006$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…11b7backed Yes | 1c | 1,006$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.