Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59545b23eef07c1a2752ecfc159eceee120b38a2090b72b156722a24b6cd026b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,925,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,372,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,925,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 2c | 5,501,377$92,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,050.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Yes | 14c | 133,309$19,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,060.51 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 72c | 127,445$91,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,497.97 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…59a0backed Yes | 23c | 115,343$27,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,056.02 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 12c | 111,407$13,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,654.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 110,006$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 43c | 72,800$31,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,444.52 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed Yes | 11c | 68,918$7,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,362.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 58c | 53,230$30,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,863.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 66c | 52,959$34,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,153.46 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 70c | 52,380$36,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,420.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed No | 73c | 48,680$35,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,017.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 2c | 40,348$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 9c | 40,051$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.9 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19a8…8c31backed Yes | 71c | 30,167$21,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,404.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed No | 68c | 27,173$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…2f74backed Yes | 27c | 26,891$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,374.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked No | 44c | 25,251$11,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,098.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 2c | 25,029$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.81 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…1e6cbacked Yes | 14c | 23,902$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 38c | 23,772$9,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,715.66 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 1c | 23,683$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 72c | 22,362$16,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.2 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…1e55backed Yes | 3c | 20,450$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 11c | 19,432$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 17c | 19,266$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…aad0backed Yes | 5c | 19,005$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.91 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked No | 73c | 18,294$13,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.77 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…4772backed Yes | 4c | 16,547$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…99d7backed Yes | 20c | 15,419$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 2c | 14,845$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0820…7b85backed Yes | 4c | 12,493$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 10c | 12,178$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.44 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 74c | 12,105$8,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.72 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 20c | 11,000$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.65 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked No | 45c | 10,874$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 19c | 10,639$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.07 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583a…80eebacked Yes | 5c | 10,144$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…7921backed Yes | 63c | 10,035$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,343.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…571bbacked Yes | 50c | 10,009$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…c636backed Yes | 65c | 9,773$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 1c | 9,707$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…bbc4backed Yes | 50c | 9,256$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…dce7backed Yes | 57c | 9,171$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked Yes | 6c | 9,090$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.47 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 23c | 9,000$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.8 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…5eb1backed Yes | 4c | 8,044$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…bcf6backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…ed31backed No | 79c | 7,892$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…a613backed Yes | 61c | 7,690$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 80c | 7,645$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.94 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 66c | 7,306$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…2a56backed Yes | 17c | 7,285$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 59c | 5,812$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,722$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed Yes | 2c | 5,411$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…de87backed Yes | 2c | 5,099$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…d271backed Yes | 1c | 5,041$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…9669backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 9c | 4,534$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.44 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 23c | 4,139$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.43 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 59c | 3,937$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 30c | 3,883$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.74 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 35c | 3,616$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.36 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…2005backed Yes | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…d9ebbacked Yes | 55c | 3,475$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…dcd0backed Yes | 3c | 3,374$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 27c | 3,366$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.59 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 53c | 3,302$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.2 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 31c | 3,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…3e88backed Yes | 4c | 3,161$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd911…d283backed Yes | 2c | 3,135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 76c | 3,080$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed Yes | 52c | 2,944$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 2,746$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.02 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…4636backed Yes | 3c | 2,700$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked No | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…2b75backed Yes | 9c | 2,580$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…2e2ebacked No | 42c | 2,546$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…7ee8backed Yes | 1c | 2,519$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a37…712abacked No | 77c | 2,455$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…c38dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,450$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 2c | 2,431$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 76c | 2,424$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.59 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,380$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 80c | 2,127$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.95 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…c7b5backed Yes | 2c | 2,052$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…6127backed Yes | 38c | 2,051$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac3…3189backed Yes | 19c | 2,051$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.