TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97a7…49f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 55 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST9546.3%44 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59%+$198.51
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$87.5
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.7%+$77.26
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.1%+$48.6
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.2%+$249
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Solana reach $230 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+36.1%+$29.2
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Solana reach $220 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$75.97
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+78.5%+$96.79
Will XRP reach $3.20 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+27.4%+$38.49
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$48
Will XRP reach $3.00 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$717.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$757.97
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$298.8
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$261.6
Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$590
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$294
Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$618.34
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,029.2
Will XRP dip to $2.20 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$89.8
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.2%+$26.17
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$79.05
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$148
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.86
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$96.1
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+46.5%+$39.23
Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$365
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$41.9
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$294.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$52.46
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$87.39
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$135.79
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$172.8
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.58
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$72.33
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$244.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+76.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$190
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$210
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Rakhmonov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+33.3%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.