La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd640da054a9c55e7591e00e6d9e55e589a194e8c4c2ec04a7b93c89cf212b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 63c | 1,447$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.39 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 1,424$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 1,015$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.74 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 65c | 768.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.68 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 48c | 592.46$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.28 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 39c | 510.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 35c | 460$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 367.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 337.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 64c | 299.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…4e44backed Yes | 35c | 236.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…c460backed Yes | 37c | 211.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 35c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 13c | 158.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed Yes | 52c | 133.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 114.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 62c | 112.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 61c | 99.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 61c | 96.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…dd7bbacked No | 66c | 95.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 41c | 90.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…93c3backed No | 66c | 76.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 35c | 70.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…c5c2backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 34c | 64.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…631abacked No | 66c | 58.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…bafcbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed No | 66c | 24.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…6259backed Yes | 63c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Espanyol vs. Real Betis end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.