La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Real Betis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9779a6b719a57b01598f4bc59f684b2b326c44a369f3d7666f8708cab03834d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,579$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,339$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.95 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Yes | 30c | 1,110$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 1,110$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,026$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 2c | 777$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 70c | 394.35$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 339$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 336.47$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 244$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 155.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Yes | 29c | 137.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 26c | 125.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 118$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 27c | 105.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…20c6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 30c | 98.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 31c | 95.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 27c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 69c | 65.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 29.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Real Betis end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.