TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No76c35,833$27,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,357.114,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Yes17c30,195$5,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,911.88580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+164.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes35c4,147$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.7110956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No68c3,340$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.8427453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c3,025$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.493,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes71c2,039$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.031172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes31c2,000$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.6920255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No64c1,740$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.7926147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No25c1,696$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes36c1,667$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.0112338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes68c1,460$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes37c1,256$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.35812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-65.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Yes75c1,250$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No65c947.88$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9615750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2916036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No73c700$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51114067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c626$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.927854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3783060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes35c576.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.764334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No26c499.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.996235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes72c473.21$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.472250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes35c456.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6714647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes74c331$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1637039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes32c315$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.21540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes70c307.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1955451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7810437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e47…0661backed Yes75c268.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No65c222.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14612757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes16c220$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.83455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No31c210$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Yes66c206$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes10c190$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1713633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c184$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes20c180$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.45724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No63c177.76$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.994845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes34c166.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.876434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes36c161.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.112751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bf…aba5backed Yes15c155$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.06728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes36c138.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.125442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd585…3d66backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e577backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.585947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes42c126.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7228543.2%123 W · 162 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No64c123.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.328961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.23571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.651353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes37c117.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.474126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes75c101$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5117744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6442557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes70c93.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.134951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.245044%22 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No62c80.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2115851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes34c68.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.513432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb48…1308backed Yes70c61.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No27c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4714854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972560%15 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5611261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0774…da5dbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72c6…f769backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No62c52.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No65c46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.943255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No64c44.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f86…5bb2backed No67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb03…2276backed Yes37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…9a04backed Yes35c36.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.831471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79a6…3aa9backed Yes67c33.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ee…d511backed Yes36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+111.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed No62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897b…151ebacked Yes38c28.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No64c27.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7812551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f8…0e32backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xded7…1ef1backed Yes69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.