TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,044,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$767,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,044,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes39c83,775$32,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,662.222050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes18c67,986$12,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,375.817448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes33c50,504$16,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,689.3110650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes14c48,098$6,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,577.8542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes15c42,510$6,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,292.1529643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes14c40,486$5,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,866.164742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes12c31,518$3,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,876.961225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes12c28,628$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.0279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes14c22,657$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9917153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Yes17c21,728$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.175453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes36c20,627$7,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,440.972138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes35c20,540$7,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,161.6738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes42c19,820$8,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,319.871816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes13c17,672$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes32c17,043$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,451.2431944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e9e…38e4backed Yes14c14,270$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.74333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+76.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes13c11,231$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.5590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes38c11,018$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+426.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes34c10,297$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.97651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes32c9,853$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.359037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbf…4a3bbacked Yes19c9,750$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Yes39c9,588$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,692.630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79d4…6d24backed Yes33c8,555$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd848…626fbacked Yes15c8,153$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.66633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes16c7,576$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.965429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes30c7,171$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes42c7,122$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.975635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes37c6,600$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes13c6,407$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.9617945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes13c6,192$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.2714659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No60c5,537$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.5812959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x666f…d5d4backed Yes17c5,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+197.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes39c4,937$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes19c4,903$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes40c4,677$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1,400.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No70c4,555$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.516848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes33c3,806$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.2725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed Yes11c3,800$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4365554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes15c3,768$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes43c3,429$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.131040%4 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Yes14c3,327$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…1288backed Yes18c2,847$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes42c2,743$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.891560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes13c2,684$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7a63…a179backed Yes13c2,673$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+883.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d00…d499backed Yes46c2,250$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes40c2,237$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid+60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes13c2,002$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.32268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc84…6f43backed Yes42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes30c2,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5fcd…c2acbacked Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.993946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe82e…1ce0backed Yes14c1,853$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+86.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes14c1,774$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Yes12c1,692$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.074240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafc2…700bbacked Yes13c1,369$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes28c1,365$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.1419743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbea…f6fbbacked Yes13c1,255$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes14c1,062$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003652.8%19 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+269.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6147…d34ebacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Yes13c996.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7120…201bbacked Yes14c950$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes14c890$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a4…58f7backed Yes15c850$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+82.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes15c848.13$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2211638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes27c756.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+205.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa805…8d5fbacked Yes42c739.34$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+242.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x979e…3d11backed Yes13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+86.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc5…a830backed Yes25c683.6$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes13c605.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e24…b99cbacked Yes34c569.91$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3912…c081backed Yes13c540.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.28520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a88…ff2bbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d0…f22bbacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes18c484.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes13c464$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.329111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca5a…5d29backed No53c454.28$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.51560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d22…b357backed Yes13c423.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…2c90backed Yes36c405.9$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes12c403.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbe…d37abacked Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19f…9826backed No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes14c395.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6265…90f4backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x365e…ec69backed Yes15c382.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc6…646cbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…5564backed Yes14c329$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7425…4028backed Yes12c323.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+91.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes36c308.93$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4725339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc3…7865backed Yes39c307.65$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+155.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…717cbacked Yes15c304.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d40…5cacbacked Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+76.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.