Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868441dc24dea77e44c60ffdc315b40ac88531a0a439c0e7077cb9246cf108c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,363,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,432,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,363,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 46c | 165,216$76,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,613.21 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 47c | 138,779$64,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,884.12 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 44c | 68,969$30,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,422.36 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 48c | 51,819$24,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,878.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…f6fbbacked Yes | 68c | 40,600$27,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,733.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 63c | 37,488$23,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,644.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 46c | 31,654$14,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,454.24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 67c | 31,291$21,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,032.83 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 46c | 29,869$13,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,691.01 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 68c | 28,274$19,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,226.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 63c | 24,865$15,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,680.14 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 64c | 23,801$15,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,210.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 65c | 22,657$14,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,728.75 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Yes | 70c | 21,214$14,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,818.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 60c | 20,889$12,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,465.68 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 34c | 20,116$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,276.76 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 59c | 18,732$11,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,084.62 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…a62cbacked Yes | 68c | 16,948$11,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,524.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…38e4backed Yes | 64c | 14,270$9,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,132.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 46c | 14,238$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.29 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 55c | 13,297$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 54c | 12,507$6,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,737.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 32c | 12,321$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,425.48 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 67c | 12,130$8,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,126.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 49c | 11,981$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.97 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 33c | 11,757$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.05 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 46c | 11,111$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1,400.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 48c | 8,958$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.85 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 45c | 8,825$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.19 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 3c | 5,790$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.68 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 62c | 5,757$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Yes | 66c | 5,317$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 45c | 5,245$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.13 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.88 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 55c | 4,904$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.75 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…1288backed Yes | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 32c | 4,517$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.54 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 46c | 4,010$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 63c | 3,907$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.91 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,394$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 45c | 3,246$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 3,125$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.95 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…9d22backed Yes | 52c | 2,683$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,670$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.11 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 43c | 2,300$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.04 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…dd95backed Yes | 69c | 2,100$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 43c | 2,074$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.9 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 15c | 1,958$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.58 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…1ce0backed Yes | 64c | 1,853$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 63c | 1,623$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.49 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbf…4a3bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 32c | 1,500$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.12 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,471$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 64c | 1,360$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 43c | 1,162$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.99 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,136$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.01 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Yes | 58c | 1,135$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Yes | 68c | 1,133$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 47c | 1,129$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 43c | 1,025$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 47c | 1,022$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.97 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 33c | 1,017$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.74 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.74 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 31c | 968$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.92 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 65c | 952.77$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.3 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…201bbacked Yes | 64c | 950$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…d4b4backed Yes | 67c | 927.67$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Yes | 45c | 920$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 33c | 890$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 68c | 872.63$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.12 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 65c | 851.17$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…58f7backed Yes | 62c | 850$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…503cbacked No | 37c | 740.54$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…8d5fbacked Yes | 47c | 739.34$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 68c | 719.29$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…7fe0backed Yes | 64c | 710.92$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 45c | 709.22$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.15 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…3d11backed Yes | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 43c | 694.41$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 65c | 667.94$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.11 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes | 68c | 640.41$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 48c | 620.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 605.77$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 67c | 596.12$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 67c | 594.12$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 46c | 565$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?this page
- Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.