World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9cb6f56033e72abe6d823d549a9317bed5ca985738cb6abed93ee25d0ad701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3e4…6d84backed Yes | 36c | 62,934$22,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,277.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…4485backed No | 64c | 62,934$40,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,277.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…c78abacked Yes | 44c | 35,424$15,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,837.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…a8c3backed No | 56c | 35,424$19,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,837.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…a601backed No | 0c | 18,048$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…b84fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,181$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 43c | 1,064$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…43f3backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…58c3backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…d007backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…330abacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3257backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…f34fbacked Yes | 43c | 990$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…accfbacked No | 57c | 850$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11b…c7debacked Yes | 43c | 790$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…d6e4backed No | 57c | 755$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked Yes | 43c | 710$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 57c | 707.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…8bb9backed Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 59c | 699.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.29 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…f0c4backed No | 47c | 687.69$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2e50backed Yes | 44c | 685$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…99f5backed Yes | 45c | 685$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…269fbacked No | 4c | 677.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed Yes | 43c | 660$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…faedbacked No | 57c | 640$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…77b2backed No | 57c | 615$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…bb19backed No | 57c | 590$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 3c | 582$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 62c | 577.52$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.59 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed No | 59c | 563$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…3898backed No | 57c | 555$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 42c | 541.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.7 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 71c | 502.18$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f530backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 75c | 500$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed Yes | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…44a4backed Yes | 43c | 480$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…ebb4backed No | 56c | 465$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 47c | 462.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.07 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 43c | 441.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…96e0backed No | 57c | 430$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes | 51c | 415.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…7f6bbacked No | 57c | 410$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…8410backed No | 64c | 405$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed No | 53c | 374.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 41c | 366.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 362.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…e835backed No | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…b813backed No | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed No | 43c | 349.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…0791backed Yes | 43c | 340$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…2731backed No | 57c | 335$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43e…49ffbacked No | 57c | 313.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…ce04backed No | 57c | 305$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…3505backed No | 57c | 305$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 40c | 296.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…1e7fbacked Yes | 36c | 290$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…7cbebacked No | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…196cbacked No | 50c | 287.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…c602backed No | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed Yes | 43c | 275$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe600…4da3backed No | 57c | 270$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 65c | 265.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…8b14backed Yes | 43c | 265$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…9c9bbacked No | 64c | 248.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…4ba7backed Yes | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked Yes | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c381backed No | 55c | 224.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d6…956bbacked Yes | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…cb8fbacked No | 65c | 218.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…44c1backed No | 57c | 215$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 42c | 213$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…ba7dbacked Yes | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…a459backed No | 57c | 205$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 61c | 201$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…5390backed Yes | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…2548backed No | 56c | 195$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed No | 64c | 187.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…5eddbacked No | 57c | 185$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked No | 68c | 176.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…8e5fbacked No | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…698bbacked No | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 53c | 169.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…a54bbacked No | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…835dbacked No | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…2353backed No | 64c | 155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 60c | 150.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…1bafbacked No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…9474backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…9154backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?this page
- Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Cheat" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Deficit" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Governor" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Medical" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Roof" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Steel" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.