World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af9515b9d7d10091866af80ef2914d07c2c48a3ebab554c0db0c7d034f5d3b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 30c | 951.03$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 25c | 949.37$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 69c | 799.99$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 26c | 599.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 70c | 579.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed No | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 27c | 500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…0ffdbacked Yes | 74c | 457.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed No | 23c | 438$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 400$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 25c | 385.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…0718backed Yes | 76c | 371.96$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 73c | 328.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 22c | 300.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 34c | 296.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 34c | 293.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes | 75c | 266.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…a601backed Yes | 76c | 261.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…272cbacked Yes | 77c | 241.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 75c | 231.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c381backed No | 44c | 217.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 21c | 205.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…4960backed No | 25c | 203.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 73c | 199.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 27c | 187.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…c83dbacked Yes | 76c | 173.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed No | 23c | 154.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 33c | 152.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…f3febacked Yes | 69c | 145.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e9…b9b1backed Yes | 69c | 140.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 21c | 135.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…9a86backed Yes | 70c | 132.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a62…0ce7backed Yes | 78c | 129.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Yes | 78c | 128.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 25c | 116.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 30c | 114.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…ff35backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…010abacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed Yes | 75c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked No | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…7a9bbacked No | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 82.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…cb44backed Yes | 78c | 76.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 69c | 74.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…9278backed No | 28c | 70.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc710…afe5backed Yes | 73c | 63.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…4f9fbacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…9c51backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…e7b8backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…719abacked Yes | 78c | 55.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…2a93backed Yes | 80c | 50.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 27c | 44.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…618cbacked Yes | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 24c | 43.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…11a8backed Yes | 76c | 37.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…d056backed Yes | 77c | 35.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 32c | 34.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9944…b035backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…0394backed Yes | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68a…850cbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…a9c5backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…4759backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…ff96backed Yes | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +227.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…36b1backed Yes | 74c | 21.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…f51abacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 80c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…a68bbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…528fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…3c7dbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a8…595abacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…fcb0backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…46f9backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…38b5backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…5724backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c69…29fabacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…ca0bbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?this page
- Will Trump say "Cheat" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Deficit" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Governor" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Medical" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Roof" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Steel" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" during Carney visit on May 6?No won
- Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.