Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249232c47daba6e79644d17b8c03248a197e609ed2168f37a16383827fd6ac85

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 29, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $135,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,240 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	16,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	15,300$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.3	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	6,214$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.51	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	5,900$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.59	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	0c	5,339$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	22c	4,514$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.22	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	12c	4,470$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.23	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	17c	3,674$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.99	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	3,517$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.73	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	1c	3,480$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc0…843dbacked No	78c	3,112$2,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.34	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	16c	2,644$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.93	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	17c	2,466$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.42	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes	9c	2,300$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.87	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	21c	2,185$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.41	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	79c	1,898$1,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.16	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	15c	1,827$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.96	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	19c	1,600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.59	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	4c	1,500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac38…f21ebacked Yes	27c	1,472$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	5c	1,250$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f3…0a98backed Yes	4c	1,112$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.21	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	2c	1,096$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb438…b113backed Yes	13c	924.24$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.1	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-74%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…af6bbacked Yes	6c	900$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	23c	799.74$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.99	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	30c	799.73$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.7	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes	26c	799.61$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.17	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	16c	716.81$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09a…d020backed Yes	18c	710.33$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.15	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	600$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.81	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	17c	577.17$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.02	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	13c	552.44$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.05	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9378…d2ddbacked No	75c	499.99$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	12c	453$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.95	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	76c	400$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.2	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	69c	399.97$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.89	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed No	78c	392.48$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.39	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-31%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	26c	384.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No	79c	384.07$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.23	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	4c	383.06$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes	15c	378.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.37	84	13.1%11 W · 73 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	361.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	5c	344.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd822…3127backed Yes	10c	337.21$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.57	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd20a…5754backed Yes	14c	319.88$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.89	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x304d…07f1backed No	74c	301.39$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.36	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31eb…3616backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed No	77c	300$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.91	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59e1…4252backed Yes	17c	297.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	17c	287.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x021b…1b7cbacked No	77c	271.94$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057d…6eddbacked Yes	20c	212.28$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes	24c	209.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes	33c	207.67$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.06	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa52a…5b16backed Yes	10c	201$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b58…53fdbacked Yes	16c	200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1172…7da0backed Yes	10c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+86.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed No	77c	191.75$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.53	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36d6…a2b7backed Yes	18c	166$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x645b…ef35backed Yes	24c	165.78$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe3…0a16backed Yes	19c	157.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	19c	151.37$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	26c	151$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.35	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3ee2backed Yes	15c	150.59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…1410backed Yes	18c	147$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x406f…7279backed Yes	15c	145.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe415…eec9backed Yes	22c	140.36$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…8258backed Yes	20c	140.18$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.34	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8af7…8ca1backed Yes	16c	134.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…6bbabacked Yes	19c	118.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No	79c	115.72$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.74	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	20c	109.61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	20c	101$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.19	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…8bb3backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b2…49aabacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	24c	96.45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f5…ebcabacked Yes	23c	90$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8f…b281backed Yes	16c	82.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x321c…91edbacked Yes	23c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xab71…73c7backed Yes	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8486…7f27backed Yes	23c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6011…f2d2backed Yes	18c	68$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a94…ed73backed Yes	33c	60.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-75%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed8…29e8backed Yes	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441b…2dfabacked Yes	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9944…b035backed No	78c	55.13$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.13	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-61%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	23c	52.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf94…d2d9backed Yes	25c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f2f…a397backed Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc186…c4b0backed Yes	30c	43.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	68c	42.81$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45a1…d54abacked Yes	25c	40.12$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1dd…f165backed No	78c	39.65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.79	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf51b…ca1bbacked No	78c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.55	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d1…29c7backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2f…66b2backed No	78c	19.14$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.14	77	24.7%19 W · 58 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event