Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c68c0203fa7c8d29091320ee8f69253fc356dda31c382272e168987b7da7bc2

Rebuilt 2 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $249,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $299,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe842…27d6backed No	0c	25,378$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.58	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be3…688fbacked Yes	79c	14,444$11,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,054.35	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	40c	7,130$2,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,248.52	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	23c	5,358$1,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,111.76	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	25c	4,300$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,234.23	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	44c	4,206$1,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,366.38	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked No	79c	3,766$2,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,979.69	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	23c	3,588$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,770.03	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	57c	2,848$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.72	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	20c	2,592$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.38	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes	15c	2,300$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,955	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac38…f21ebacked Yes	50c	2,078$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.7	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	27c	2,050$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.76	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	43c	1,860$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.38	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	18c	1,753$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,437.71	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2256…b932backed No	1c	1,719$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	55c	1,646$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.12	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	38c	1,600$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.3	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd99f…4400backed Yes	56c	1,153$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.53	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82d…f5c0backed Yes	57c	1,151$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.99	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	42c	1,113$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.76	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	80c	1,095$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.45	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	26c	1,048$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.2	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28d5…8433backed No	54c	1,018$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.9	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	8c	1,016$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.68	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	13c	1,000$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5637…7599backed No	78c	1,000$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No	45c	998.99$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.55	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	24c	956.73$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.11	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes	36c	949$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.42	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…215dbacked Yes	21c	845.34$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.34	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	62c	776.61$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.14	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	23c	727.75$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.16	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5d…3deabacked Yes	60c	711.67$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.67	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	34c	698.36$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.66	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	54c	688.77$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.76	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc0…843dbacked No	44c	688.45$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.95	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No	39c	643.11$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.83	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	23c	606$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.62	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	34c	588.02$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.74	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	64c	540$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.1	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…b631backed Yes	56c	532.14$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.14	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	16c	511.82$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.71	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe9…78cabacked Yes	68c	502.31$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.76	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	50c	502.05$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.98	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	21c	499.99$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.99	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes	28c	478.22$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	39c	477.01$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.89	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c6…0bafbacked Yes	74c	471.74$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	30c	445.05$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.47	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes	58c	430.03$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.03	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	69c	423.17$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.79	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	15c	371.66$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.95	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	10c	362.58$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.28	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes	48c	353.66$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.43	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	16c	352.86$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.9	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…48a2backed No	56c	340.99$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	20c	305.61$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.29	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	25c	288.65$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.19	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x752a…282fbacked Yes	19c	267.87$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.31	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5086…8ddebacked No	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	26c	241.85$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.29	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	7c	229.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.82	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes	15c	223.16$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.58	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+81.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes	23c	206$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.02	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fda…8858backed Yes	48c	204.19$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe415…eec9backed Yes	20c	203.19$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.19	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	26c	202$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.07	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+236.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes	50c	200$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.6	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b58…53fdbacked Yes	32c	200$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.99	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf545…5987backed Yes	44c	200$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1172…7da0backed Yes	17c	200$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+86.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed No	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51c6…c26dbacked No	15c	197$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	78c	180$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.79	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5d…6be6backed No	24c	175.38$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.53	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c5…765abacked Yes	57c	173.37$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb6…3f8abacked Yes	58c	172.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.44per pick	69cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5067…6d69backed No	10c	169$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057d…6eddbacked Yes	20c	167.83$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.13	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes	78c	166.29$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.29	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe09a…d020backed Yes	51c	160.74$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.13	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	35c	155.85$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.85	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7183…69c9backed Yes	62c	152.97$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…9c7abacked Yes	20c	150$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.80per pick	20cpaid	+400%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dea…9e90backed Yes	20c	149.7$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c6…8908backed Yes	39c	143.26$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.98	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	47c	140.34$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.92	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xece5…bd2cbacked Yes	55c	140$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	17c	138.31$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.31	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0151…3691backed Yes	59c	127.77$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.77	113	28.3%32 W · 81 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	22c	120$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.69	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa52a…5b16backed Yes	17c	118.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.16	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb288…abbbbacked Yes	17c	117.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.79	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…55b9backed Yes	37c	115.9$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.52	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a5…7151backed Yes	17c	114.29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x890d…782cbacked Yes	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe197…5667backed No	80c	106.54$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.21	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e1…4252backed Yes	24c	100.92$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.92	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	18c	100.22$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.25	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event