Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0ff97605016f6a23bf8479fad86b72bb00ee2c63e539a6c922f368ac2cd4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2007…e485backed Yes | 3c | 13,447$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 76c | 11,526$8,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.44 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…a74cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,900$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…563dbacked Yes | 9c | 8,718$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d8…6698backed Yes | 1c | 8,494$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 7,721$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.53 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 5c | 7,585$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.68 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,366$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,744$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 43c | 3,767$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.52 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…830abacked No | 37c | 2,768$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.5 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…fcb6backed Yes | 14c | 2,764$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694e…8d20backed Yes | 26c | 2,756$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…90c4backed Yes | 19c | 2,489$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4d…6ad3backed Yes | 19c | 2,461$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbc…a33abacked Yes | 1c | 2,142$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 70c | 2,080$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.33 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…8156backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 73c | 1,788$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.16 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…cfeabacked Yes | 7c | 1,583$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 71c | 1,475$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…dd7cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,440$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 13c | 1,436$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 32c | 1,220$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.18 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,211$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,157$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…cd76backed Yes | 65c | 1,150$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…e7d1backed No | 77c | 1,110$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,011$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 77c | 975.97$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…3737backed Yes | 1c | 975.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 15c | 804$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 787.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc108…7c05backed Yes | 4c | 779.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 72c | 754.22$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…a292backed No | 69c | 735.85$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 2c | 697.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed Yes | 15c | 594.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 36c | 585$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 43c | 516.13$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…c226backed Yes | 17c | 470.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c42…62fabacked Yes | 28c | 361.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…e4b4backed Yes | 6c | 346.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 73c | 288$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x518d…5a2cbacked Yes | 4c | 269.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…08ebbacked Yes | 8c | 253.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…6f5ebacked No | 67c | 224.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 19c | 219.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 214$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…495dbacked Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +956.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 34c | 107.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Yes | 15c | 99.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…5f12backed Yes | 51c | 70.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 69c | 66.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 71c | 57.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…9b95backed Yes | 48c | 56.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 65c | 52.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc6…6b0dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…3c0abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…54dfbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.50 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.00 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.40 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.50 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.60 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.70 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.90 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.10 before 2026?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?No won
- Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.