TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cf8…69ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$16
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Désiré Doué score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Arda Güler score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Marcus Rashford score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.4
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.7
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.5
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+289.6%+$44.6
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+150%+$24
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$43.8
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+84.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+89.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+36.4%+$10.08
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducksbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.76
UCLA Bruins vs. California Golden Bearsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sinner vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.