Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266c03e306362506f7bc7e3eaf5802b9307d9f85ee5e8508db4503156121e85a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e8f…83f8backed No | 0c | 10,396$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 5,317$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.95 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Yes | 47c | 2,315$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 47c | 2,000$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 47c | 1,619$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.26 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed No | 51c | 1,111$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 2c | 1,002$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 963.49$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.63 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 861.46$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.96 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 46c | 650.71$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 53c | 600$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 45c | 473.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 419.91$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 54c | 326.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 46c | 313.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 57c | 193.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…7ccebacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 70c | 181.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 57c | 150.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 61c | 133.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 37c | 132.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 54c | 118.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 46c | 114.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 46c | 113.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 90.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 58c | 81.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 44c | 77.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked No | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 69.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 57c | 65.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 54c | 64.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 56c | 56.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Yes | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 55c | 31.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 29.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked No | 56c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 64cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Yes | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.