TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,087,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,345,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,087,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 797 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No30c110,000$32,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,899.9420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes69c80,864$55,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,158.6920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No29c71,689$20,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,637.047542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No27c51,935$14,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,022.419450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes71c44,951$31,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,248.324456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes72c37,321$26,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,359.371,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No31c34,578$10,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,580.7229253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No29c30,853$8,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,940.3331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes64c29,327$18,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,44335758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No29c27,229$7,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,893.096,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes73c23,173$16,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.8418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes72c21,022$15,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f17…519ebacked Yes76c20,822$15,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No28c20,188$5,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,652.5821154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No37c17,148$6,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,289.7818958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes69c16,043$11,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.37636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes71c15,146$10,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,455.182556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes73c15,098$10,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.15650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No30c15,037$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45010236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No28c14,196$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,974.855337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No28c12,956$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.1316848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No36c11,707$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.5815049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…66b9backed Yes64c11,172$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,022650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No28c10,675$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.133745.9%17 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes70c10,600$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.993545.7%16 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-38.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes71c10,570$7,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed No26c7,780$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No28c7,760$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.8710335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No28c7,572$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.117745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes72c7,247$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.6327235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes73c6,939$5,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.0410737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes65c6,922$4,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.812548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes73c6,730$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.084264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes76c6,045$4,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.88958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No30c6,015$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.53046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No29c5,497$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.1211162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No29c5,485$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.621827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No30c5,182$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.6530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No28c5,029$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9914544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Yes71c4,800$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e06…1b59backed Yes70c4,200$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes72c4,170$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.674447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No28c4,170$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.5814254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes73c4,112$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.551060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No28c4,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes74c3,920$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.0313834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No23c3,768$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8669111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes76c3,685$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.582075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed No29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No27c3,189$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.059450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a307backed Yes72c3,142$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No27c3,048$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.784050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Yes72c2,765$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes72c2,639$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.939263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes73c2,600$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9050…bdf5backed Yes73c2,492$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes71c2,416$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No19c2,379$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No29c2,364$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.151,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Yes72c2,362$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.722055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8309…62b1backed Yes72c2,361$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed Yes54c2,335$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.013672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes76c2,292$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.211,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed Yes72c2,250$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes70c2,222$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.522540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes71c2,195$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.443551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605064%32 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0a…c2c4backed Yes72c1,885$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes64c1,883$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8112345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No26c1,833$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes72c1,804$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.123350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes73c1,781$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+69.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes69c1,750$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes73c1,717$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.433868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes71c1,686$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.234650%23 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No28c1,604$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.645240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf1…98cbbacked Yes70c1,600$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No29c1,556$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44929458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes72c1,531$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No28c1,505$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.911650%8 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+63%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef99…1565backed Yes71c1,501$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4356660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120a…6456backed No29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes71c1,490$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.761,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes72c1,419$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.398448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.457060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No28c1,400$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.977149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Yes71c1,399$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc48c…b218backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes72c1,382$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.954975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes72c1,382$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.931758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.