Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff72ddb9c71b8179ed3353d654ca508b653bcabf2be0730b726a9a6240de7944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 23c | 83,941$18,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,956.84 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 63,109$48,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,355.81 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes | 30c | 8,285$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 4,541$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.84 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 76c | 3,770$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.12 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 76c | 2,657$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.11 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…4040backed Yes | 5c | 2,207$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,854$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…45adbacked Yes | 19c | 1,492$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 19c | 1,137$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Yes | 19c | 956.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 20c | 875$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…ac19backed No | 76c | 819.74$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 724.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 18c | 687.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 631.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 77c | 595.69$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 513.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…d4cdbacked Yes | 19c | 368.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 12c | 304.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 70c | 300.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 19c | 255.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 255.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…53a7backed Yes | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…b307backed Yes | 18c | 239.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…87babacked Yes | 22c | 225.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Yes | 22c | 225.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 22c | 222.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…b9c9backed Yes | 23c | 220.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 18c | 205.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…e393backed Yes | 20c | 194$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 176.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…8d20backed Yes | 13c | 156.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 20c | 152.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 25c | 121.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…64f7backed Yes | 18c | 119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 118.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 118.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…a276backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 19c | 103$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…b988backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…b695backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 18c | 92.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 21c | 79.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Yes | 23c | 75.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 71c | 72.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 79c | 60.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…1604backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…722fbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…59b9backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 76c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.