Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf0abe29da8b355f0ed50399803b0b8a83a62c7978d81abbdb2812278c918df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 17c | 75,055$12,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,553.51 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 11c | 13,496$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.56 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 5c | 8,837$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,654$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…0bb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,338$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 9c | 2,315$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…099fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,300$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Yes | 9c | 2,216$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 9c | 2,089$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 11c | 1,560$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…469cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 11c | 1,274$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 77c | 1,164$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 11c | 1,095$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 11c | 1,090$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 10c | 1,008$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…6d46backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 9c | 999.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…808dbacked Yes | 11c | 987.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d48…d3ddbacked Yes | 11c | 977.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…1152backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 11c | 889.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 11c | 823.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…ac19backed No | 77c | 809.09$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 9c | 788.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 12c | 716.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 703.44$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 7c | 535.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 8c | 485$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes | 12c | 466.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb949…f6fcbacked Yes | 12c | 458.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 11c | 453.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 9c | 440.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 11c | 375$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 11c | 348.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 77c | 280$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…0bb1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 199.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 11c | 198$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 10c | 197.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 186.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…7302backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbec…8d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a8…b0eabacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 110.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad4…84d7backed Yes | 10c | 103.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…f957backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…cf83backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26e6…e1b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…d69bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…f957backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 77c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.