TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,283,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,293,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,283,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 972 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No47c107,363$50,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,942.5121853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Yes57c90,547$51,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c88,916$46,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,934.576,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No47c88,787$41,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,179.358940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes39c86,778$33,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,927.886357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes54c57,255$30,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,992.021,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No46c55,066$25,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,680.6727750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes53c51,944$27,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,325.8814544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c51,759$22,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,298.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c51,027$27,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,356.011,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes56c50,000$27,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,90031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed No47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,499.872552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,199.955651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No47c39,415$18,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,890.1418950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No44c39,327$17,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,042.5725551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No46c33,482$15,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,115.7914450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No48c27,522$13,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,361.5921154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No37c25,846$9,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,344.8529253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Yes52c24,710$12,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,849.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Yes53c23,342$12,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,371.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes53c22,614$11,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,985.5818948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No45c20,258$9,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,142.1515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes55c19,757$10,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,928.9967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No48c17,687$8,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,209.3124846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No46c17,000$7,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,223.5620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes55c16,567$9,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,113.0711945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes54c12,951$6,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,993.87028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes53c11,319$5,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9995752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes52c10,882$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ab…2e2dbacked Yes53c10,816$5,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,708.23540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+97%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No44c10,607$4,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.9210849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.852839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Yes53c9,932$5,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,303955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6803060%18 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes53c8,252$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c8,226$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.352,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3b…a380backed No49c8,199$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes70c8,120$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7108958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No58c8,036$4,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.4269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes53c7,992$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.7346551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes53c7,630$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.882445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ef…5232backed Yes57c7,139$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes54c7,113$3,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No47c7,110$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.7116851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes52c7,100$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6929946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked No47c7,093$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.281747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes40c7,021$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.8219729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aeb…bec1backed Yes56c6,207$3,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89be…9902backed No44c6,202$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes54c6,185$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.647035.7%25 W · 45 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No47c6,102$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.075054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes13c6,097$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes57c6,005$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42310737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf383…92c6backed Yes54c6,000$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,26010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No46c5,787$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.271,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No48c5,746$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.0717745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…a55abacked Yes53c5,649$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9941315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Yes53c5,555$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.151546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes45c5,350$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.56833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6008531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8502653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes24c5,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes74c4,546$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.6720239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…e0e1backed Yes53c4,082$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1201729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes56c3,706$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.131,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5369…aac5backed Yes48c3,638$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No48c3,635$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.3211346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Yes55c3,625$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.994257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No48c3,620$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.5815049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No59c3,620$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49510042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes53c3,517$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8645646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0867…d2eebacked Yes53c3,489$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes53c3,336$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.9918740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes33c3,016$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Yes53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No52c3,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4503542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9911349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed No44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Yes56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.841942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed No44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes50c2,989$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.075745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4011…479cbacked Yes53c2,959$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No43c2,890$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.863246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No34c2,869$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.3736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes54c2,851$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.794658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed No47c2,735$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed No48c2,700$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes55c2,694$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.643850%19 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No76c2,621$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.432075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked No49c2,572$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes45c2,504$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.8830739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35016237.7%61 W · 101 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc13a…6471backed Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes26c2,443$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.3641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.