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Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United vs. Everton end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No67c22,577$15,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,490.4318950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No76c14,087$10,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.2729253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c6,628$4,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.212,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ab…2e2dbacked Yes38c5,735$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+97%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes33c5,535$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.831,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes31c3,999$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.7825836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No75c3,777$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.2516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.784746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No80c2,556$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.0341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes27c2,431$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.8636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No75c2,301$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.251,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c2,261$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.194,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes23c2,143$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c1,919$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c1,795$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes26c1,600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40822125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c1,529$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c1,453$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.231,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes32c1,382$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afe…4504backed Yes34c1,177$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+135.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Yes24c1,135$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.341546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b8…3ee1backed Yes33c1,072$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes21c976.65$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.941,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes26c951.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…5eebbacked Yes33c931.27$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Yes30c864.12$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2620…a3cebacked Yes25c799.05$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa326…4556backed Yes21c785.71$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5635…6953backed Yes26c740$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No73c688.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2427141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c660$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.451,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes36c639.44$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.27145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes34c614.5$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8910940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Yes30c583.33$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes26c469.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No76c463$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes29c442.79$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.411513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No69c418.54$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.987963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No77c417$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1420239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes25c399.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.942142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+70.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c382.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.598531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes27c376.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1322744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No75c375.63$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c350$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No75c320$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807560%45 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes29c286.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes30c277.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.188925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes34c276.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5c…c2e3backed Yes33c260.09$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Yes25c250$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505046%23 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9024…ce31backed Yes25c210$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes25c204.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.152025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes33c203.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.127350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c199$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.741,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes15c189.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1513249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes32c185.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0f…921cbacked Yes28c163.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Yes28c160.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455238.5%20 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No76c158.52$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc778…6c42backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a10…1492backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8809…6e34backed Yes34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes14c145.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…490fbacked Yes27c137.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.031060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6584…9a74backed Yes32c134.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd547…5ed7backed Yes35c132.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e8…c261backed Yes26c126$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.761216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Yes26c119.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes17c111.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3441…5b05backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes32c103.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes32c100.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9132222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257830.8%24 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35a8…526fbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff9…b010backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+111.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes27c96.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8715238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Yes30c88.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…651fbacked Yes25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.