Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2af0531042c245f85e9605cc87aa40828fdc0d04e3c3c86ee0f2441b189b524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,978,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,290,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,978,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 975 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 2c | 201,693$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.33 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…fdb4backed Yes | 8c | 131,180$10,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,900.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…e722backed Yes | 5c | 100,072$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…a2adbacked Yes | 6c | 90,263$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…b90abacked Yes | 9c | 73,942$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed Yes | 1c | 66,720$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 13c | 66,636$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,569.73 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 10c | 65,200$6,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,809.92 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 61c | 64,016$39,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,702.96 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…063bbacked Yes | 8c | 59,507$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Yes | 51c | 57,545$29,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,593.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 56,446$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.74 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,974$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18e…3535backed Yes | 2c | 50,837$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 16c | 41,724$6,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.04 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 12c | 40,554$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 3c | 39,922$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 4c | 38,305$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 50c | 37,121$18,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,386.23 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…5517backed Yes | 4c | 33,194$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…b624backed Yes | 7c | 33,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…58e7backed Yes | 3c | 32,159$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 23c | 30,661$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,094.69 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…d36fbacked Yes | 53c | 28,204$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 10c | 22,380$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.39 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…bac2backed Yes | 4c | 22,281$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes | 0c | 21,768$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950e…76d9backed Yes | 1c | 21,429$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 78c | 20,666$16,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.31 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…8406backed Yes | 15c | 20,534$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.67 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…f53ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 21c | 19,021$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.04 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…1f07backed Yes | 3c | 18,836$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe5…d4b3backed Yes | 36c | 18,340$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…2e82backed Yes | 8c | 16,382$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…cb7ebacked Yes | 10c | 16,382$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 73c | 16,361$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…24e0backed Yes | 8c | 15,973$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 15,703$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 47c | 15,690$7,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,262.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 58c | 15,269$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,887.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed No | 67c | 15,218$10,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.21 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Yes | 11c | 15,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 1c | 14,984$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…a057backed Yes | 2c | 14,729$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,544$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 7c | 14,450$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.98 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 28c | 14,294$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.8 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Yes | 7c | 14,102$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 4c | 13,696$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.35 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 13,422$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.24 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 8c | 13,247$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…2511backed Yes | 41c | 13,165$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…7240backed No | 47c | 12,792$5,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…a7f1backed Yes | 11c | 12,536$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 16c | 12,327$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…0fbfbacked Yes | 5c | 12,045$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…1d21backed Yes | 7c | 12,025$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 18c | 12,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 20c | 12,000$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.84 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 24c | 11,970$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,548$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 20c | 11,260$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 15c | 11,163$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…3e12backed Yes | 4c | 11,039$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…f455backed Yes | 57c | 10,613$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1db…e1bcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,543$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 17c | 10,450$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…8a88backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…1f87backed No | 56c | 9,650$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 8c | 9,504$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…4671backed Yes | 20c | 9,434$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 12c | 9,337$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.07 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…823cbacked Yes | 54c | 9,035$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 9,015$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…c9ebbacked Yes | 43c | 8,791$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…5288backed Yes | 5c | 8,657$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 12c | 8,551$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.08 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 56c | 8,421$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…8eabbacked Yes | 0c | 8,307$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…6196backed Yes | 3c | 8,288$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 56c | 8,272$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.91 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 51c | 8,235$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.67 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…0bafbacked Yes | 61c | 8,017$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 75c | 8,009$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.25 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…a6d9backed Yes | 8c | 8,000$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…8585backed Yes | 1c | 7,966$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 10c | 7,675$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.99 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 75c | 7,446$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.99 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5c…b34abacked Yes | 64c | 7,326$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 52c | 7,300$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…65adbacked Yes | 2c | 7,106$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 50c | 7,040$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 27c | 7,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.