Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69398b7966c5ab8d939ecce115abf510f160e9b3db1a1db2ccadc83c249e5fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,109,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,228,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,109,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 124,462$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.71 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 7c | 120,032$7,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,965.13 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…fca5backed Yes | 0c | 100,882$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 0c | 99,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…0eadbacked Yes | 0c | 80,878$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 74,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…bd4dbacked Yes | 9c | 73,605$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 72,750$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.29 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…4119backed Yes | 0c | 71,886$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…82debacked Yes | 4c | 63,770$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 61,460$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.97 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 2c | 59,985$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 3c | 54,057$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e8…0d30backed Yes | 6c | 53,200$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 7c | 52,646$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.95 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 4c | 51,040$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.33 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Yes | 5c | 50,808$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…3622backed Yes | 6c | 46,939$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.92 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…2043backed Yes | 5c | 42,337$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 5c | 38,343$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.37 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…0938backed Yes | 2c | 37,528$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,532$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f2…678ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,076$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 5c | 30,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1e…d9a3backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…0ce0backed Yes | 2c | 25,049$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b3…f144backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 24,500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 7c | 23,712$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.51 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 4c | 23,635$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.28 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…06afbacked Yes | 0c | 23,264$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 4c | 22,802$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa077…5715backed Yes | 5c | 21,330$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Yes | 2c | 21,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…2642backed Yes | 2c | 20,752$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca3…bcb0backed Yes | 0c | 20,501$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 3c | 20,467$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.41 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 0c | 19,476$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…c1ffbacked Yes | 4c | 19,078$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 2c | 18,797$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 18,651$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.53 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6122backed Yes | 2c | 18,570$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db5…70f9backed Yes | 4c | 18,410$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…21cdbacked Yes | 0c | 16,917$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 3c | 16,257$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 2c | 16,080$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc014…677dbacked Yes | 2c | 15,544$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…c174backed Yes | 2c | 15,053$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Yes | 1c | 14,734$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 14,522$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…f20cbacked Yes | 7c | 14,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 1c | 13,650$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…b6a5backed Yes | 7c | 13,604$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…aef6backed Yes | 5c | 13,308$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed Yes | 1c | 12,800$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…f0d9backed Yes | 3c | 12,567$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 0c | 12,129$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…95e9backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 3c | 11,905$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.63 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 4c | 11,874$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.86 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Yes | 2c | 11,577$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…cb9bbacked Yes | 6c | 11,398$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…d105backed Yes | 4c | 11,364$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 3c | 11,320$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.18 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…d1cabacked Yes | 8c | 11,237$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 4c | 10,426$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.77 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes | 1c | 10,332$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 10c | 10,300$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…5758backed Yes | 3c | 9,551$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 4c | 9,497$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.82 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 3c | 9,492$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 5c | 9,473$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.8 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 0c | 9,274$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 3c | 9,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 9,195$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.47 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…17eabacked Yes | 0c | 8,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 8,062$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed Yes | 4c | 7,791$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 7,475$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.76 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 4c | 7,475$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…f8afbacked Yes | 1c | 7,325$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…dfbbbacked Yes | 2c | 7,261$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…abf8backed Yes | 1c | 7,127$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…fdb4backed Yes | 1c | 6,984$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…099bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,822$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…4d83backed Yes | 3c | 6,816$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed Yes | 1c | 6,800$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…4c30backed Yes | 6c | 6,748$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…bb94backed Yes | 3c | 6,581$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…51dabacked Yes | 8c | 6,160$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.63 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…9f9abacked Yes | 4c | 5,953$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…e3edbacked Yes | 5c | 5,887$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ed9abacked Yes | 2c | 5,800$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,379$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 2c | 5,365$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.