Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644d961311cd6c49f61325cba8495707d3ba0ea08bcdcc04b1cdb1246277d01d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 0c | 66,825$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,332$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked No | 69c | 10,099$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.39 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 10,070$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 5c | 8,235$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 3c | 7,353$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 7c | 6,004$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.59 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 62c | 5,563$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.88 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 66c | 5,363$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.1 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 2c | 5,145$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 55c | 4,653$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 34c | 4,483$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.97 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 42c | 3,850$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.84 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Yes | 2c | 3,737$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 1c | 3,526$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…b99cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…3e2fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,096$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…374ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,857$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…73e6backed Yes | 23c | 2,340$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,827$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c1…55e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,606$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…10fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 56c | 1,494$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.51 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed No | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 54c | 1,455$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.25 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…94b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 35c | 1,356$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.46 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfc…f414backed Yes | 6c | 1,214$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,207$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 48c | 1,200$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.52 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 35c | 1,129$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…86efbacked Yes | 6c | 956.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…c602backed Yes | 58c | 880$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 2c | 747.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 14c | 663.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 6c | 639.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…b4edbacked Yes | 21c | 596.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 65c | 549.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…e9e5backed Yes | 2c | 514.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 5c | 505$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc87…8dd0backed Yes | 7c | 400.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…6c49backed No | 68c | 375$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…28ddbacked Yes | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…bee4backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3d…ed5dbacked Yes | 7c | 300.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…3042backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 7c | 267.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…bf5cbacked Yes | 18c | 265.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf128…b8d1backed Yes | 6c | 260.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 17c | 230.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…de37backed Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 69c | 213.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…3b6bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…8b81backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…a43fbacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 195.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…4912backed No | 68c | 190$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…89e9backed Yes | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked Yes | 32c | 186.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…d065backed No | 36c | 180.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…7da1backed Yes | 6c | 167.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 70c | 161.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Yes | 32c | 156.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…0eddbacked Yes | 8c | 146.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…8296backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…d9e5backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…02c5backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…7453backed No | 58c | 109.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 65c | 100.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…3a30backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…5d3bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…2c09backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…4540backed Yes | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…5fdfbacked Yes | 33c | 84.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +416.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…8d91backed Yes | 35c | 81.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 52c | 78.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked No | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…61f2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…6cb0backed No | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5371…2cf5backed Yes | 47c | 57.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…11c3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…266dbacked No | 70c | 51.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…68f3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.