TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf90f…8296

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
274
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20245%91 W · 111 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$223.53
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.68
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.03
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$295.66
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+333.8%+$477.99
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$213.37
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.11
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.5
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.61
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$319.32
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$126.26
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.5
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.18
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$219.17
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$424.73
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$147.6
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.36
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.49
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$99.65
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-81.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60.58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+124.7%+$249.44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+259.8%+$346.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+400%+$200
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hobart International: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.72
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+671.2%+$134.23
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$163.04
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$169.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Fluxo (BO1)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.