Fifa International · resolved market
Will Chad vs. Mozambique end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded1f71cf3665a7d98f8a2856e1d1250745f5dce6a82f077ec3d51e80c55c911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 2,073$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.18 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 30c | 673.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 529.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 480.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.41 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 356.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Yes | 67c | 346.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 301.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093f…4ddfbacked Yes | 33c | 298.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…8296backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 27c | 185.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed No | 72c | 174.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 132.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 119.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Yes | 76c | 95.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 73c | 49.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 48.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…c9adbacked Yes | 66c | 38.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…af59backed Yes | 79c | 15.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chad vs. Mozambique end in a draw?this page
- Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?No won
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.