Fifa International · resolved market
Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544e73675828daf1dd0a0ed6945d3dc7e9c017c1c1e01e6dd246f15cf0e55000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 1c | 19,748$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,478$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.5 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392b…29d5backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,328$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,252$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 695.36$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 37c | 579.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…ceffbacked Yes | 7c | 576.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +350.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 59c | 470.2$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 57c | 463.16$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 447.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a02dbacked Yes | 5c | 405.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 57c | 349.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 69c | 321.26$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 315.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…0ac1backed No | 43c | 294.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 17c | 291$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…cb94backed Yes | 59c | 248.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…8296backed Yes | 59c | 169.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 78c | 154.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Yes | 60c | 147.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 14c | 142.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 65c | 127.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…254dbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Yes | 22c | 99.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 89.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 69.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed No | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7595backed Yes | 64c | 51.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…d0f6backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 64c | 48.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Yes | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Yes | 57c | 40.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 65c | 33.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…8460backed Yes | 61c | 33.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…861dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d7…5487backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…2244backed Yes | 64c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Chad vs. Mozambique end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.