TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd32…cb64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.88
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$127.25
LAR vs. Panthersbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$157.1
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$179
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+213.5%+$102.15
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.3%+$87.48
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$79.5
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$37.5
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+67.4%+$86.6
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+43.1%+$134.96
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$43.75
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55.75
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+93.1%+$60.25
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52.41
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+36.8%+$163.26
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27.49
1H Spread: Chargers (-2.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.21
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+125.3%+$101.35
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
UMass vs. Ohio: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$82.25
Florida Gators vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+86.1%+$65.78
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+239.5%+$701.9
O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31.82
Wake Forest vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100.65
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$61.25
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.9%+$68.59
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$118.5
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+57.1%+$109
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25.7%+$17.95
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$10
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$104.67
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$99.95
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$44.23
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$27.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$35.65
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.8%+$43.27
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$38.75
Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$54.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Texas Longhorns vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29.44
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$263.52
Duke Blue Devils vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.1%+$126.9
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$314.5
Maryland Terrapins vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26.25
Arizona Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+192.9%+$323.44
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$132.99
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+60.7%+$86.12
Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+98.1%+$52
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+68.4%+$63.05
Kansas Jayhawks vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+115.9%+$247.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$119
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+114.1%+$214.68
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$123.3
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$163.8
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+36.3%+$115.95
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+91.1%+$71.5
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+40.4%+$46.93
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.36
Lightning vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+83.1%+$100.74
Rangers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Bruinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$83.99
Will United States vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$82.69
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Austria vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+177.8%+$96
Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$89.11
Will Chad vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+48.8%+$113.62
Will Malta vs. Poland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$78.9
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29%+$202.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.8%+$200.36
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$100.19
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.94
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.67
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$86.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.