TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

West Virginia vs. Houston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Virginiaof West Virginia, Houston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$659,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$678,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae0f…f647backed Houston76c61,907$46,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,986.933342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked West Virginia16c61,800$9,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,912366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+193.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed West Virginia16c61,729$9,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,011.5485947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked West Virginia15c36,404$5,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,943.186832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked West Virginia16c33,552$5,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,183.9675651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed West Virginia26c30,614$7,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,800.9186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed West Virginia16c30,168$4,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,239.112718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed West Virginia16c29,700$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,9488549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked West Virginia16c27,500$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,22552641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked West Virginia16c25,450$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,44515745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston47c24,784$11,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,729.5140541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked West Virginia16c21,450$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,01820450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed West Virginia16c11,430$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,601.1593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed West Virginia16c7,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3007944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Houston8c7,224$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.9323751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed West Virginia64c6,880$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.8119120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Houston53c6,157$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,232.6562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia15c5,980$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.372,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Houston49c5,953$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.7764841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked West Virginia24c5,695$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.944235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed West Virginia16c5,351$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4931,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed West Virginia43c5,010$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+117.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed West Virginia16c5,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2007133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48a…3ce6backed West Virginia15c5,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed West Virginia15c5,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.9925629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked West Virginia17c4,778$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.4149443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Houston68c4,502$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Houston27c4,013$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.1519842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia16c3,916$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.0140244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c3…955abacked West Virginia16c3,750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Houston17c3,147$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.0920039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed West Virginia32c2,997$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.216030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Houston68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed West Virginia16c2,529$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.3638546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Houston78c2,499$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.035356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Houston66c2,492$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.8463243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed West Virginia21c2,381$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.952748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed West Virginia18c2,250$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.9934529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Houston70c2,192$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.413149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed West Virginia46c2,118$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.559635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8012…020fbacked West Virginia15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston46c1,973$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked West Virginia16c1,937$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.9181847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked West Virginia47c1,906$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.092638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed West Virginia16c1,670$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.84959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed West Virginia17c1,424$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.5321348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed West Virginia16c1,400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.973100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+301.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed West Virginia29c1,250$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked West Virginia17c1,199$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.2747131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked West Virginia17c1,100$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9133145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed West Virginia16c1,000$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84513452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed West Virginia18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…e7f5backed West Virginia18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston76c1,000$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76321538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed West Virginia16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8406731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked West Virginia18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed West Virginia16c999.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+103.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Houston78c980$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7692147.6%10 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick68cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Houston32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012042.5%51 W · 69 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3916…2e33backed Houston76c933.16$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked West Virginia12c847$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.9649253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked West Virginia15c810.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.9750358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Houston43c800.91$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8326939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed West Virginia16c800$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6722714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked West Virginia16c741.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.4722030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed West Virginia42c695.41$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40427648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Houston68c690$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.23060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked West Virginia51c666$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3717443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed West Virginia16c616$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.985754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed West Virginia16c599.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked West Virginia15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42511436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Houston39c480$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3557144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Houston56c462$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.149341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed West Virginia18c400$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307335.6%26 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Houston48c353$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.583036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Houston6c344.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0894…d8d1backed Houston63c332$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed West Virginia16c310$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.413253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Houston45c268.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.94052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed West Virginia30c255$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6526750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd32…cb64backed Houston29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed West Virginia21c238.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.818627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe047…e509backed Houston58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e0…b63fbacked West Virginia25c160.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.51833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked West Virginia15c150$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.517634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked West Virginia18c150$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12318416.8%31 W · 153 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe215…a3d9backed West Virginia18c143$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed West Virginia18c121.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.77922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed West Virginia17c118$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9424436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1be8…cef7backed West Virginia17c115$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.45520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked West Virginia18c111.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2216044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e72…59dabacked West Virginia18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.11333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe930…99aebacked West Virginia46c108.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.362040%8 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed West Virginia17c106$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9810340.8%42 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Houston51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed West Virginia23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+60.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2267…58afbacked West Virginia17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+59.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f32…f204backed West Virginia17c96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+188.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Houston54c93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.222433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb59c…9b66backed West Virginia80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.