TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e72…59da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+496.7%+$289.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$13.47
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.61
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$21.3
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$17.86
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$6.76
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+48.9%+$5.73
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+53%+$12.18
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+233.3%+$42
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$118.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$10.73
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.88
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$5.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+186.5%+$37.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+229.2%+$92.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs hAze clan - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.