Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3decd7b1af98a8caad97c81599516f704de437a3a24d7124942740982512b255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 41c | 19,399$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,413.51 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 12,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…d8f5backed Yes | 39c | 11,460$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 26c | 9,191$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4544…5106backed Yes | 39c | 8,900$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…3066backed No | 61c | 7,235$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 24c | 6,825$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.03 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…5d10backed No | 61c | 6,700$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ad…5fbebacked No | 61c | 6,450$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 29c | 5,018$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.83 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,973$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 0c | 2,895$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 43c | 2,322$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.73 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 61c | 2,091$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 37c | 2,006$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.73 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 52c | 1,921$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 29c | 1,744$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 44c | 1,515$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 61c | 1,292$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 46c | 1,218$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed Yes | 61c | 1,142$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 25c | 1,117$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.87 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 1,100$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 61c | 1,069$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.59 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked No | 53c | 999.95$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…c09dbacked Yes | 52c | 918.2$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 75c | 850$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.88 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked Yes | 46c | 828.15$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 41c | 773$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 764.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 40c | 743.57$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 46c | 675.22$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 39c | 672.69$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…c333backed Yes | 62c | 663.33$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 43c | 643.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.74 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 522.76$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…572bbacked Yes | 34c | 481.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…00f4backed Yes | 60c | 476.55$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Yes | 28c | 449.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 52c | 440.82$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…db08backed Yes | 46c | 431.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 39c | 399.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 56c | 398.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 380.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed No | 40c | 363.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 361.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 56c | 358.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…610ebacked Yes | 41c | 336.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 13cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…9d28backed Yes | 46c | 334.12$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 73c | 330.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…13f7backed Yes | 43c | 329.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 72c | 326.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 41c | 320$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0701backed Yes | 65c | 308.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 55c | 304.14$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 75c | 302$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 40c | 299.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 66c | 294.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…8024backed Yes | 50c | 275.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…48c4backed Yes | 44c | 269$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 265$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 41c | 234.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 40c | 231.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…22f3backed Yes | 64c | 220.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…39d2backed Yes | 47c | 213.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 191.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 33c | 188$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…bc55backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 60c | 171.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 67c | 159.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 71c | 152.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 141.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…7fc6backed Yes | 48c | 139.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…fc45backed No | 59c | 135.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…7aaabacked No | 55c | 134$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…59dabacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…7677backed Yes | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Yes | 42c | 128$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed Yes | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…3b40backed Yes | 41c | 117.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…0274backed Yes | 70c | 115.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?this page
- Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.