Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5abc7bb2fe46c77fca1b934ac8cb4a869b81a2dea3c1e89965a2235649e0a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,033,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,033,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 10c | 278,280$27,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,137.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…e556backed Yes | 0c | 85,458$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…8e73backed Yes | 0c | 83,937$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…cb07backed Yes | 0c | 82,983$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…40f9backed Yes | 0c | 80,120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…c355backed Yes | 0c | 78,933$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…d1e0backed Yes | 0c | 78,031$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…a2aebacked Yes | 0c | 76,673$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa9…6875backed Yes | 0c | 75,521$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…b9aebacked Yes | 0c | 73,008$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…01d9backed Yes | 0c | 73,002$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bb…a8b8backed Yes | 0c | 67,838$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5b…802abacked Yes | 0c | 67,532$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…9264backed Yes | 0c | 67,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3631…d439backed Yes | 0c | 66,848$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…94c8backed Yes | 0c | 66,828$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe097…c9abbacked Yes | 0c | 66,677$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…0654backed Yes | 0c | 66,239$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…4a37backed Yes | 0c | 65,953$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,361$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…89c8backed Yes | 0c | 65,323$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b68…58fdbacked Yes | 0c | 64,765$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…2809backed Yes | 0c | 64,442$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…fef8backed Yes | 0c | 64,310$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…a952backed Yes | 0c | 64,065$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…3f7ebacked Yes | 0c | 63,668$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…9a65backed Yes | 0c | 63,567$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…9043backed Yes | 0c | 63,075$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…7902backed Yes | 0c | 62,721$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0889…803fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,904$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…f177backed Yes | 0c | 61,381$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…aca3backed Yes | 0c | 60,911$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a3…273ebacked Yes | 0c | 60,896$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3977…ee4bbacked Yes | 0c | 60,770$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67e…a4f5backed Yes | 0c | 59,912$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…be69backed Yes | 0c | 59,620$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…8e10backed Yes | 0c | 59,267$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…17f7backed Yes | 0c | 59,227$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d5…e1e0backed Yes | 0c | 59,109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…45e3backed Yes | 0c | 58,408$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…c8fdbacked Yes | 0c | 58,317$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…a9fdbacked Yes | 0c | 58,304$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…eb33backed Yes | 0c | 58,254$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a924backed Yes | 0c | 57,887$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…e260backed Yes | 0c | 56,521$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…d270backed Yes | 0c | 55,850$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…2885backed Yes | 0c | 55,591$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…9785backed Yes | 0c | 55,433$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…e289backed Yes | 0c | 54,020$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…eb3dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,382$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae6…ba5cbacked Yes | 0c | 53,318$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…1051backed Yes | 0c | 52,763$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc4…1e52backed Yes | 0c | 52,562$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0552…e068backed Yes | 0c | 52,447$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…14edbacked Yes | 0c | 52,275$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…b5b4backed Yes | 0c | 52,191$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…7070backed Yes | 0c | 51,589$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…4f94backed Yes | 0c | 51,383$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…6ff8backed Yes | 0c | 51,381$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…4d04backed Yes | 0c | 50,520$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…5e8bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,191$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…2820backed Yes | 0c | 48,149$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…03b6backed Yes | 0c | 44,977$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…2fa7backed Yes | 0c | 44,636$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…7f96backed Yes | 0c | 44,308$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41d…c59ebacked Yes | 0c | 43,612$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…2d85backed Yes | 0c | 43,350$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cc…0bafbacked Yes | 0c | 43,342$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…d480backed Yes | 0c | 42,765$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…2a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 42,577$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…8a9abacked Yes | 0c | 40,962$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…4dc0backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…fc35backed Yes | 0c | 14,870$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…4860backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…58dbbacked Yes | 6c | 12,494$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 12c | 12,054$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 8c | 11,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 10c | 10,442$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 9c | 10,428$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 9c | 5,049$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.41 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,962$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.24 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 8c | 1,449$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 8c | 1,433$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 8c | 1,264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 7c | 1,216$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 7c | 899.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 10c | 747$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 10c | 666$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…4b34backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 6c | 569.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked Yes | 9c | 522.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Yes | 8c | 501.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 11c | 379.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…62e0backed Yes | 10c | 304.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?this page
- Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?Yes won
- Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.