Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc977dca4de2205d2c848108db96133ae3f0c1522e56eca63f1a3d00c9908c6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 58c | 13,228$7,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 38c | 9,034$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.27 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…0aa7backed Yes | 56c | 5,868$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 70c | 5,032$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.58 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5d…9c22backed Yes | 0c | 3,130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,117$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 38c | 3,026$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,900$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes | 50c | 2,284$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…1307backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.47 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 53c | 1,700$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 1,603$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.63 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 52c | 1,434$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 65c | 1,218$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.69 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 76c | 1,187$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…4393backed No | 50c | 1,065$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 57c | 1,042$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +203.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 47c | 998.68$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.42 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…89babacked Yes | 55c | 955.2$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 61c | 895.47$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 40c | 835.17$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 57c | 829.1$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked No | 27c | 792.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 55c | 791.59$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…aa32backed Yes | 52c | 721.66$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 36c | 666$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 54c | 647$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked Yes | 63c | 646.49$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…9d28backed Yes | 59c | 634.97$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 50c | 603.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 68c | 595.05$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…6a60backed Yes | 49c | 585.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 37c | 550$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Yes | 59c | 543.71$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 51c | 520$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 49c | 501.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 35c | 499.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 45c | 449.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 55c | 448.84$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 15c | 444$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 45c | 432.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.64 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 44c | 426.25$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 19c | 425$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 55c | 416.33$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 42c | 358.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 68c | 335.25$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 60c | 330.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 16c | 301.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 33c | 287$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 15c | 282.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…216bbacked No | 34c | 280.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 41c | 280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…572bbacked No | 35c | 277.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…2052backed Yes | 53c | 250.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 38c | 250.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 62c | 245.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 59c | 240.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 53c | 240.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 57c | 240$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…49a9backed Yes | 44c | 237.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 53c | 211.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…c083backed Yes | 53c | 206.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…700cbacked Yes | 49c | 204.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…db08backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…935cbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…48c4backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 30c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…fc45backed No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes | 56c | 188.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes | 55c | 185.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcf…1bdebacked Yes | 54c | 183.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 63c | 182$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…e922backed Yes | 56c | 179.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 59c | 157.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 62c | 153.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 65c | 152.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…75c4backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…026fbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…da95backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?this page
- Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.